On the success rates of maritime piracy attacks

Psarros, George Adamantios; Christiansen, Alexander F.; Skjong, Rolf; Gravir, Gjermund

doi:10.1007/s12198-011-0073-4

Cited by 23 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 27 publications

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“…In terms of the organization of piracy, the more efficient is the pirate organization the greater is the probability of their not being caught on any given voyage, and, it can be supposed, the greater is the value of the booty captured (Leeson, ; Psarros et al ., ). Accordingly, modern‐day Somali pirates have developed supportive “social” organizations that aid them on land and at sea.…”

Section: Overview Of Piracy In Recent Timesmentioning

confidence: 97%

An Economic Analysis of Maritime Piracy and its Control

Hallwood

Miceli

2013

Scottish J Political Eco

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Modern-day piracy on the high seas poses a serious threat to international shipping. This paper develops an economic of model of piracy that emphasizes the strategic interaction between the efforts of pirates to locate potential targets, and shippers to avoid contact. Implementation of optimal enforcement policies is complicated by the need for international cooperation in the apprehension and prosecution of pirates. Free riding and other problems therefore impede the effectiveness of current international laws against piracy.

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Section: Overview Of Piracy In Recent Timesmentioning

confidence: 97%

An Economic Analysis of Maritime Piracy and its Control

Hallwood

Miceli

2013

Scottish J Political Eco

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“…However, incidents in the Malacca Strait are rising and siphoning oil cargo from product tankerssimilar to incidents in the Gulf of Guineahas been reported also for this region. By analysing the available statistical material from the IMO's monthly piracy reports during the period 2000-2009, it is found that incidents off and around the African continent have led to fewer deaths as compared to those in South China Sea and Malacca strait (Psarros et al, 2011). This demonstrates that the attack rates on specific vessel segments and the recorded incidents for each geographical area develop their own trends.…”

Section: Maritime Piracy Patternsmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…Modern pirates use state-of-the-art equipment in their operations (Psarros et al, 2011). Their crimes range from simple robbery to murder and hijacking of entire ships for ransom demand.…”

Section: Maritime Piracy Patternsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A number of reported studies have been conducted to investigate the nature of maritime piracy and robbery issues from a variety of angles, particularly over the past decade. Psarros et al (2011) estimated the probability of an attack through logistic regression modelling and using the IMO data from 2000 to 2009. One finding is that the success attack rate decreases with vessel size.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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A novel flexible model for piracy and robbery assessment of merchant ship operations

Pristrom

Yang

Wang

et al. 2016

Reliability Engineering & System Safety

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A novel flexible model for piracy and robbery assessment of merchant ship operations http://researchonline.ljmu.ac.uk/id/eprint/4261/ Article LJMU has developed LJMU Research Online for users to access the research output of the University more effectively. (2016) A novel flexible model for piracy and robbery assessment of merchant ship operations. RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 155. pp. AbstractMaritime piracy and robbery can not only cause logistics chain disruption leading to economic consequences but also result in loss of lives, and short-and long-term health problems of seafarers and passengers. There is a justified need for further investigation in this area of paramount importance. This study analyses maritime piracy and robbery related incidents in terms of the major influencing factors such as ship characteristics and geographical locations. An analytical model incorporating Bayesian reasoning is proposed to estimate the likelihood of a ship being hijacked in the Western Indian or Eastern African region. The proposed model takes into account the characteristics of the ship, environment conditions and the maritime security measures in place in an integrated manner. Available data collected from the Global Integrated Shipping Information System (GISIS) together with expert judgement is used to develop and demonstrate the proposed model. This model can be used by maritime stakeholders to make cost-effective anti-piracy decisions in their operations under uncertainties. Discussions are given on industrial response to maritime piracy in order to minimize the risk to ships exposed to attacks from pirates. Further recommendations on how maritime security and piracy may be best addressed in terms of maritime security measures are outlined.

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“…Scholars (such as Psarros et al (2011)), organizations working with ship security (as described by such as Yang and Qu (2016) based on a formal safety assessment approach (IMO 2013)), and ship operators (as described by ; Liwång et al (2015)) perform security analyses. These types of analysis are needed to increase maritime security.…”

Section: Descriptive Modelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Piracy off West Africa from 2010 to 2014: an analysis

Liwång

2016

WMU J Marit Affairs

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Piracy is one of the most frequent maritime threats. However, despite the importance of how maritime piracy is to be reduced, it is substantially less investigated than maritime safety. Piracy off Somalia is the most investigated case of piracy, but those results are not necessarily generalizable. Piracy off West Africa has been shown to be more diverse, successful and dangerous. This study investigates and analyses piracy off West Africa with the aim to understand how different operations and security measures affect the consequences of piracy. This study has identified several different intents and shows that most attacks are relatively close to shore and correspond to areas of high ship density. Attacks with the intent of theft at night-time are generally performed close to shore, and more complicated attacks against ships under way are more common during daytime and farther from shore. Five types of measures are found to have high effectiveness if the attack is detected during approach; after boarding, only two measures have high effectiveness. Of the effective measures, it can be concluded that all but one are dependent on detecting the attack. Therefore, detecting the pirates is key but must be accompanied by a set of measures because no measure alone can protect a ship given the operational conditions off West Africa. The risks associated with piracy off West Africa are estimated to be of the same magnitude as the risks posed by Somali piracy at its peak.

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On the success rates of maritime piracy attacks

Cited by 23 publications

References 27 publications

An Economic Analysis of Maritime Piracy and its Control

An Economic Analysis of Maritime Piracy and its Control

A novel flexible model for piracy and robbery assessment of merchant ship operations

Piracy off West Africa from 2010 to 2014: an analysis

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