On the role of climate scenarios for adaptation planning

Dessai, Suraje; Lu, Xianfu; Risbey, James S.

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.12.004

Cited by 119 publications

(74 citation statements)

References 19 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…The manner in which councils addressed these existing concerns is insightful for other locations. In terms of lack of information, it is important to emphasise that the need for information varies not only due to the adaptation issue in question as argued by Dessai et al (2005) but also due to the specific location, priorities and existing capacity of different councils. Our findings show that, in the case of sea-level rise and storm surge implications for planning, the information needs are quite specific and can be addressed through detailed hazard mapping in partnership with external technical support to provide best available estimates.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Due to the lack of reliable climate forecasts and predictions, scenarios have been used to assist climate adaptation planning, drawing on IPCC assessments, particularly at the national and state (provincial) scale (Dessai et al 2005). A key point is that the degree of information needed for planning depends upon the type of adaptation being considered.…”

Section: Lack Of Informationmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Adapting to climate change through local municipal planning: barriers and challenges

Measham

Preston

Smith

et al. 2011

Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change

610

481

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Municipal planning represents a key avenue for local adaptation, but is subject to recognised constraints. To date, these constraints have focused on simplistic factors such as limited resources and lack of information. In this paper we argue that this focus has obscured a wider set of constraints which need to be acknowledged and addressed if adaptation is likely to advance through municipal planning. Although these recognised constraints are relevant, we argue that what underpins these issues are more fundamental challenges affecting local, placed-based planning by drawing on the related field of community-based environmental planning (CBEP). In considering a wider set of constraints to practical attempts towards adaptation, the paper considers planning based on a case study of three municipalities in Sydney, Australia in 2008. The results demonstrate that climate adaptation was widely accepted as an important issue for planning conducted by local governments. However, it was yet to be embedded in planning practice which retained a strong mitigation bias in relation to climate change. In considering the case study, we draw attention to factors thus far under-acknowledged in the climate adaptation literature. These include leadership, institutional context and competing planning agendas. These factors can serve as constraints or enabling mechanisms for achieving climate adaptation depending upon how they are exploited in any given situation. The paper concludes that, through Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change (2011) 16:889-909

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Lack Of Informationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adapting to climate change through local municipal planning: barriers and challenges

Measham

Preston

Smith

et al. 2011

Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change

610

481

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Water management in the face of climate change therefore needs to adopt a scenario-based approach (Beuhler, 2003;Simonovic and Li, 2003). This is being used in practice in countries such as the UK (Arnell and Delaney, 2006) and Australia (Dessai et al, 2005). However, there are two problems.…”

Section: Areas With Blue (Red) Colours Indicate the Increase (Decreasmentioning

confidence: 99%

Resistance and Resilience of A Stream Salamander To Supraseasonal Drought

2012

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

“…Despite improvements in the climate change science-policy interface (Rayner and Jordan 2010), most decision-makers do not routinely consider future scenarios when making decisions, nor do they find it easy to make use of available knowledge on climate change and impacts (Dessai et al 2005;Hulme and Dessai 2008;Porter et al 2012). A common problem is the mismatch between the scale of what is known about the world and the scale at which decisions are made and action taken (Kates et al 2001).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Are European decision-makers preparing for high-end climate change?

et al. 2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Despite the Paris Agreement target of holding global temperature increases 1.5 to 2°C above pre-industrial levels, high-end climate change (HECC) scenarios going beyond 4°C are becoming increasingly plausible. HECC may imply increasing climate variability and extremes as well as the triggering of tipping points, posing further difficulties for adaptation. This paper compares the outcomes of four concurrent European case studies (EU, Hungary, Portugal, and Scotland) that explore the individual and institutional conditions, and the information used to underpin adaptation-related decision-making in the context of HECC. The focus is on (i) whether HECC scenarios are used in current adaptation-related decision-making processes; (ii) the role of uncertainty and how climate and non-climate information is used (or not) in these processes; and (iii) the information types (including socio-economic drivers) commonly used and their limitations in relation to HECC scenarios. Decision-makers perceive HECC as having a low probability or distant occurrence and do not routinely account for HECC scenarios within existing climate actions. Decision-makers also perceive non-climate drivers as at least as important, in many cases more important, than climate change alone. Whilst more information about the implications of particular sectoral and cross-sectoral impacts is needed, climate change uncertainty is not a significant barrier to decision-making. Further understanding of individual and institutional challenges brought about by the 'squeeze' between adapting to HECC scenarios or to lower levels of temperature change (as those agreed in Paris) is essential to better contextualise the use of climate change information.

show abstract

On the role of climate scenarios for adaptation planning

Cited by 119 publications

References 19 publications

Adapting to climate change through local municipal planning: barriers and challenges

Adapting to climate change through local municipal planning: barriers and challenges

Resistance and Resilience of A Stream Salamander To Supraseasonal Drought

Are European decision-makers preparing for high-end climate change?

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About