On the Role of Climate Change on Wind Waves Generated by Tropical Cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico

Appendini, Christian M.; Acuña, Adrián Pedrozo; Meza‐Padilla, Rafael; Torres-Freyermuth, Alec; Cerezo‐Mota, Ruth; López-González, José; Ruíz-Salcines, Pablo

doi:10.1142/s0578563417400010

Cited by 31 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 55 publications

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“…Based on the resulting wind fields for the different selected TC, we forced the third-generation spectral wave model MIKE 21 SW [83]. A detailed description of the MIKE 21 SW model and the setup and calibration used in this work are included in Ruiz-Salcines [84] and Appendini et al [45].…”

Section: Wave Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For instance, they are particularly useful to derive wind fields for long-term studies requiring modeling a large number of storms. Some examples of the use of parametric wind models include waves and storm surge analysis [32][33][34][35][36], wave setup estimation [37], risk modeling [38][39][40], forecasting [41,42], storm surge and waves hindcasting [43], emergency management [31], structural design [44], and analysis of trends under present climate and global warming [45,46].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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On the Use of Parametric Wind Models for Wind Wave Modeling under Tropical Cyclones

Ruíz-Salcines

Salles

Robles-Díaz

et al. 2019

Water

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Wave and wind forces from tropical cyclones are one of the main design parameters of coastal and offshore infrastructure in tropical areas. The estimation of ocean waves parameters in the design of structures in tropical areas is difficult due to the complexity of wind fields associated with tropical cyclones. The use of numerical wave models, forced with parametric wind fields, is a common practice within the climatic characterization of extreme events. However, there is currently no consensus on the selection of parametric models for wave prediction due to the lack of a rigorous assessment of different models. In this study, six well-known parametric wind models were tested, compared, and applied in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea. Therefore, the evaluation and comparison of the resulting wind and wave fields are presented, showing that a particular model may best represent a specific event, but, when dealing with a large number of events, the choice of a particular parametric wind model or a combination of them does not guarantee greater accuracy.

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Section: Wave Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

On the Use of Parametric Wind Models for Wind Wave Modeling under Tropical Cyclones

Ruíz-Salcines

Salles

Robles-Díaz

et al. 2019

Water

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“…Projected changes in wind shear suggest a decrease in the number and intensity of TCs in the region (Biasutti et al, 2012), although studies suggest an intensification of wind speed of higher-category events on a global scale (Holland and Bruyère, 2014). Wave hindcast results from Appendini et al (2014) do not project increases in wave height, although a recent analysis indicates more intense waves in the future climate for the WCS as a result of tropical cyclones (Appendini et al, 2017).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 96%

Storm-wave trends in Mexican waters of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea

Ojeda

Appendini

Mendoza

2017

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

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Abstract. Thirty-year time series of hindcast wave data were analysed for 10 coastal locations along the eastern Mexican coast to obtain information about storm events occurring in the region, with the goal of examining the possible presence of interannual trends in the number of storm-wave events and their main features (wave height, duration and energy content). The storms were defined according to their significant wave height and duration, and the events were classified as related to either tropical cyclones or Norte events. The occurrence and characteristics of both types of events were analysed independently. There is no statistically significant change in the number of storm-wave events related to Nortes or their characteristics during the study period. However, there is a subtle increase in the number of events related to tropical cyclones in the western Caribbean region and a more evident increase in wave height and energy content of these events.

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“…The Yucatán Peninsula coast, located in south-eastern Mexico, is prone to coastal flooding due to both its geographical location and geological characteristics. On the one hand, extreme meteorological phenomena such as Central American cold surge (CACS) events (Appendini et al, 2018) and tropical cyclones are common in this area (Posada-Vanegas et al, 2011;Meza-Padilla et al, 2015;Rey et al, 2016). On the other hand, the region is characterized by a wide and shallow continental shelf, a low-lying coast and the presence of semienclosed back-barrier water bodies (lagoons, shelter ports, and wetlands).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…an average of only 0.16 events per year (Rosengaus-Moshinsky et al, 2002). CACS (locally knows as Nortes) events occur during late autumn and winter, with an annual mean ranging from 16 events (Reding, 1992) to 24.5 (Appendini et al, 2018), depending on how a CACS is defined. Following Reding (1992) and Schultz et al (1998), the present study defines a CACS as an anticyclonic movement of a cold mass of air that originated in North America, which penetrates equatorward to at least 20 • N latitude.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessment of coastal flooding and associated hydrodynamic processes on the south-eastern coast of Mexico, during Central American cold surge events

Rey

Salles

Mendoza

et al. 2018

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

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Abstract. Coastal flooding in the northern Yucatán Peninsula is mainly associated with storm surge events triggered by high-pressure cold front systems. This study evaluates the hydrodynamic processes of the Chelem lagoon, Mexico and the flooding threat from cold fronts for the neighbouring town of Progreso. A 30-year water-level hindcast (excluding wave set-up) was performed because of the lack of long-term tide gauge records. In order to assess the relative contribution from wave set-up and residual and astronomical tides to total flooding, the two worst storm scenarios in terms of maximum residual tide (Event A) and maximum water level (Event B) were simulated. Numerical results suggest that during Event A the wave set-up contribution reaches 0.35 at the coast and 0.17 m inside the lagoon, and these values are smaller for Event B (0.30 and 0.14 m, respectively). Results of the effect of the tidal phase on wave set-up and residual sea level show that (i) the wave set-up contribution increases during ebb tide and decreases during flood tide at the Chelem inlet, (ii) the residual tide is larger (smaller) near low (high) or receding (rising) tide, and (iii) maximum flooding occurs when the storm peak coincides with rising or high tide. The numerical results confirm the important role of wave set-up on the assessment of coastal flooding in micro-tidal coastal environments.

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On the Role of Climate Change on Wind Waves Generated by Tropical Cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico

Cited by 31 publications

References 55 publications

On the Use of Parametric Wind Models for Wind Wave Modeling under Tropical Cyclones

On the Use of Parametric Wind Models for Wind Wave Modeling under Tropical Cyclones

Storm-wave trends in Mexican waters of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea

Assessment of coastal flooding and associated hydrodynamic processes on the south-eastern coast of Mexico, during Central American cold surge events

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