On the perceived usefulness of risk descriptions for decision-making in disaster risk management

Lin, Lexin; Nilsson, Anders; Sjölin, Johan; Abrahamsson, Marcus; Tehler, Henrik

doi:10.1016/j.ress.2015.04.012

Cited by 23 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 40 publications

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“…Given that, in Greece, early warning is provided at the regional level, municipality-level officials probably need higher resolution predictions. Similarly, the higher frequency of cooperation that central officials indicate, could be the result of coordination efforts with more actors and a larger area of jurisdiction, as suggested by Lin et al [41].…”

Section: Influencing Factorsmentioning

confidence: 86%

“…However, the literature has not discussed or compared the extent of influence of these factors on views and opinions of officials across different aspects of flood management, including everyday practice and risk perception. This is important as risks are becoming more complex, and at the same time, organizational fragmentation is increasing [40], meaning that resources are distributed among more stakeholders, and that good coordination is becoming more critical [41]. In particular, in the framework of the European community of civil protection, the effort to understand key institutional differences and promote homogeneity would benefit from an improved understanding of the views of civil protection personnel.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Identification of Patterns and Influential Factors on Civil Protection Personnel Opinions and Views on Different Aspects of Flood Risk Management: The Case of Greece

2020

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The views and perceptions of the civil protection community have a central position in any risk management process or initiative, and are crucial to its success. However, knowledge of the views and perceptions of officials, and what affects them remains limited in the current literature. This work uses questionnaires to explore the views of civil protection personnel in Greece on different elements of flood risk management and identify factors that influence them. Results provide a basic understanding of officials’ views, indicating certain shortcomings in various sectors and dissatisfaction in several aspects of everyday practice. Interestingly, responses of participants to perception- and knowledge-related questions show a pattern, relating to respondents’ attributes and characteristics, such as experience, age, qualifications, and others. On the contrary, their views on everyday practice issues of flood risk management are associated with the type of position they have in the civil protection community. The findings contribute to the overall effort to improve the understanding of the characteristics of civil protection organizations across Europe, as a means to enhance cooperation.

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Section: Influencing Factorsmentioning

confidence: 86%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identification of Patterns and Influential Factors on Civil Protection Personnel Opinions and Views on Different Aspects of Flood Risk Management: The Case of Greece

2020

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“…The breeding environment is formed through the interaction of many factors in nature and society, including soil, vegetation, transportation systems, and public places [42]. Specifically, the environment of different affected areas includes the natural environment and social environment [43].…”

Section: Breeding Environmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

Demand Stratification and Prediction of Evacuees after Earthquakes

Geng

Hou

2021

Sustainability

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In recent years, frequent natural disasters have brought huge losses to human lives and property, directly affecting social stability and economic development. Since the driving factor of disaster management operations is speed, it will face severe challenges and tremendous pressure when matching the supply of emergency resources with the demand. However, it is difficult to figure out the demands of the affected area until the initial post-disaster assessment is completed and demand is constantly changing. The focus of this paper is to stratify the evacuation needs and predict the number of evacuees and supplies demanded after an earthquake. This research takes a large-scale earthquake as an example to analyze the characteristics of evacuation demand stratification and the factors that affect the demands of evacuees. The forecast model for the number of evacuees is selected and improved. Moreover, combining the influencing factors of materials demand and the number of evacuees, a forecast model of materials demand for evacuees is constructed. The proposed model is used in the case of the Ya’an earthquake in China to estimate the number of evacuees and the daily need for emergency supplies.

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“…Alternatively, the risk assessment process could be repeated, but with these assumptions relaxed through the use of intervals or imprecise distributions to describe the flood return period and land and material costs, as suggested by Berner and Flage (33) . This ability to refine the risk assessment or focus research activities could be one reason that including information on the background information that supports quantitative risk descriptions improves the perceived usefulness of risk assessments (44) .…”

Section: Implications For Risk Management and Decision Makingmentioning

confidence: 99%