“…A mathematical formulation for groundwater-salinity-differences was quantified via numerical simulation under six key scenarios of change, scenario 1 (actual "year 2015" groundwater extraction without sea-level rise), scenario 2 (actual groundwater extraction with sea-level rise according to RCP2.6), scenario 3 (actual groundwater extraction with sea-level rise according to RCP8.5), scenario 4 (base "year 1990" groundwater extraction without sealevel rise), scenario 5 (base groundwater extraction with sea-level rise according to RCP2.6), and scenario 6 (base groundwater extraction with sea-level rise according to RCP8.5). It is concluded from the numerical simulations and analyzing the results that: in scenarios 4, 5 and 6 where, the extraction rate is relatively low, the dominant factor in groundwater salinization is sea-level rise, which will cover the low level lands (1980 km 2 by RCP2.6 and 2870 km 2 by RCP8.5) and destroy the aquifer below these lands leading to additional pressure heads at the seaside causing seawater intrusion (Sherif, 1999). On the other hand groundwater extraction rates in scenarios 1, 2 and 3 are the dominant factor in groundwater salinization at the study area, in addition to Stalinization due to the low lands level that covered with seawater.…”