News Coverage, Economic Cues, and the Public's Presidential Preferences, 1984-1996

Shah, Dhavan V.; Watts, Mark; Domke, David; Fan, David P.; Fibison, Michael

doi:10.2307/2647548

Cited by 73 publications

(58 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…As might be expected, negative economic news turns voters away from the incumbent party, and positive economic news generally leads people to support the incumbent party (Holbrook 2001;Nadeau et al 1999;Shah et al 1999). Of course, it is also plausible from the priming perspective that more economic news encourages economic voting and less economic news discourages it.…”

Section: Economic Newsmentioning

confidence: 90%

Economic Considerations and the 2008 Presidential Election

Holbrook

2009

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The idea that economic conditions influence election outcomes and voting behavior is hardly novel and would appear to be close to uniformly accepted, especially in the case of American presidential elections. Beginning with the early aggregate studies (Arcelus and Meltzer 1975; Bloom and Price 1975; Kramer 1971; Tufte 1978) and the important individual-level work that followed soon thereafter (Kiewiet 1983; Kinder and Kiewiet 1979, 1981; Fiorina 1981), election scholars have devoted considerable attention to the influence of the economy on voting behavior and election outcomes. Although the findings are many and sometimes disparate, a few general conclusions have emerged: economic voting is incumbency oriented rather than policy oriented (Fiorina 1981; Kiewiet 1983); at the individual level, evaluations of the national economy are more closely tied to vote choice than are evaluations of personal finances (Kiewiet 1983; Kinder and Kiewiet 1979, 1981; Kinder, Adams, and Gronke 1989); and, with the exception of 2000, the incumbent party is habitually returned to office when economic times are good and tossed out when economic times are bad (Campbell and Garand 2000). In short, we know a lot about how the economy influences voters and elections, and it would seem that there are few issues left to resolve.

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Section: Economic Newsmentioning

confidence: 90%

Economic Considerations and the 2008 Presidential Election

Holbrook

2009

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“…In a similar vein, Doms and Morin (2004) show that news affect consumers perception on the economy by using the R-word index from The Economist measuring the frequency of the word "recession" in the media. Further empirical evidence is presented in Shah et al (1999) and Groeling and Kernell (1998). They find that the media give only little attention to the economy when it is in good shape but report extensively when it is in bad shape.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

The role of media for consumers’ inflation expectation formation

Lamla

Lein

2014

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization

109

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This paper analyzes the impact of the media on consumers' inflation expectations.We distinguish two channels through which media can influence expectations. First, the intensity of coverage of inflation reports plays a role (volume channel). Second, the contents of these reports matter (tone channel). Employing a unique data set capturing media reports on inflation in Germany comprising 01/1998-09/2007 we are able to discriminate between these two effects. We find that the volume effect generally improves the accuracy of consumer forecasts while the tone channel induces a media bias. JEL classification: E52; D83

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“…Much political science literature also concludes that media coverage shapes political candidate preferences (Abrams & Brody, 1998;Cho, 2005;Druckman, 2005;Mendelsohn, 1996;Patterson, 1993;Shah, Watts, Domke, Fan, & Fibison, 1999). Patterson's Out of Order (1993) found media coverage of the front-runner in presidential campaigns influenced voter perceptions about candidate viability.…”

Section: Biased News and Public Opinionmentioning

confidence: 96%

“…Patterson's Out of Order (1993) found media coverage of the front-runner in presidential campaigns influenced voter perceptions about candidate viability. Shah et al (1999) found campaign news coverage of the nation's economy shaped presidential preferences in elections from 1984 to 1996. Abrams and Brody (1998) examined news coverage of Senator Bob Dole, concluding that the news media failed to educate the public about the positive aspects of age and health, possibly influencing his presidential loss.…”

Section: Biased News and Public Opinionmentioning

confidence: 98%