Natural gas as a bridge to sustainability: Infrastructure expansion regarding energy security and system transition

Gillessen, Bastian; Heinrichs, Heidi; Hake, Jürgen‐Friedrich; Allelein, Hans-Josef

doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113377

Cited by 56 publications

(28 citation statements)

References 16 publications

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“…However, for countries with a high ratio of natural gas consumption, the government should try to confine the use of natural gas to reduce carbon emissions. In other words, natural gas is interim energy in the energy transition process (Gillessen, Heinrichs, Hake, & Allelein, 2019).…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spillover and dynamic effects of energy transition and economic growth on carbon dioxide emissions for the European Union: A dynamic spatial panel model

Ren

Cheng

Wang

et al. 2020

Sustainable Development

142

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This paper introduces “spatial effects” and “dynamic effects” to investigate the influences of economic growth and energy transition on cross‐country CO2 emissions movements within the European Union (EU). We apply the fixed‐effects dynamic spatial Durbin error model to empirically gauge the magnitude of the spatial impacts and dynamic impacts for a sample of 26 EU countries throughout 1990–2015. By analyzing the empirical results, we conclude that: (1) Compared with dynamic spatial Durbin error model, the traditional dynamic panel model over‐estimates the parameters because traditional regression methods only capture the direct impacts, and neglect the indirect impacts. (2) A significant positive spatial spillover of CO2 emissions from neighboring countries to the local country is recognized, justifying the use of our spatial model. (3) Economic growth has positive impacts on CO2 emissions, while the spatial effects of economic growth exert negative impacts. Moreover, the total effects of economic growth are positive in both short‐term and long‐term. (4) Although the spatial effects of renewable energy are not significant, renewable energy has negative influences on CO2 emissions. (5) The impacts and spatial effects of natural gas are positive; therefore, its total effects are positive in both short‐run and long‐run. Based on our finding, we provide several policy recommendations, such as the emphasize of cooperation with CO2 reduction policies, the promotion of green economy and renewable energy, and the substitution of natural gas in the future.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spillover and dynamic effects of energy transition and economic growth on carbon dioxide emissions for the European Union: A dynamic spatial panel model

Ren

Cheng

Wang

et al. 2020

Sustainable Development

142

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Such consideration indeed causes that the role of some basic rings of the thermal supply chain, such as CHP and HPs, is eliminated from the model, while these energy converters can provide various options to supply the heat demand. Regarding the type and number of converters considered within the hub, its performance in changing/converting input energy carries at the output can be mathematically modeled by a matrix, namely mapping matrix, as (1). Each mapping matrix element, named here mapping factor, indeed represents performance efficiency of one of the rings of supply chain.…”

Section: -The Energy Hub: a Step Toward The Sustainable Developmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The need to apply emission restrictions to the generation sectors has propelled different countries to use energy sources characterized by lower emission. Accordingly, natural gas (NG) will have the main role among fossil fuels in the future of conventional energy systems (ESs) [1]. However, the rotation of visions to the NG energy is not only derived from the climate change.…”

Section: -Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Heat and Electricity Supply Chains Expansion Planning Under the Umbrella of Energy Hub: A Case Study of Iran

et al. 2020

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Increases in tightening the correlation of gas and electricity systems (G&ES), affected by diverse factors, ranging from anthropogenic climate change to the advent of new conversion/generation technologies, have remarkably brought the co-expansion of G&ES using a new concept, the socalled Energy Hub (EH), as well as the potential of storage systems into focus. To assess the effectiveness of EH approach and the role of storages in the coordinated plans of G&ES, this paper proposes a comprehensive EH-based planning model for co-expansion of G&ES supply chains with respect to the role of gas storage systems (GSSs). As a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) problem, the model is applied to a real large-scale case study, i.e. the Iranian G&ES and is solved via the GAMS package. The simulation results reveal that incorporation of the interactions existing between G&ES into their planning problems in the framework of an EH can reach more flexible, realistic and optimal expansion plans compared with their traditional integrated expansion planning methods. Furthermore, findings show that the involvement capacities of GSSs provides the opportunity of optimal matching of demand with supply by increasing the productivity of the gas pipelines, allowing technically and economically sensible long-term management of gas supply systems.

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“…The model suggests that storage and/or LNG regasification terminals would represent a more efficient investment instead of increasing pipeline transport capacity. Gillessen et al [33] used a gas flow optimisation model (GASOPT) to understand how future energy systems would affect national energy security and its implications in long-term expansion planning of natural gas transmission networks. Using Germany as case study, the model found that although gas would act as a bridge to transition to a low-carbon economy, it is expected a lower gas demand in 2050 compared to baseline (2015) values, recommending to avoid any significant investment to expand the current transmission infrastructure and instead focusing on retrofitting it for hydrogen transportation.…”

Section: Existing Literature 21 General Gas Modelling Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling cost-effective pathways for natural gas infrastructure: A southern Brazil case study

et al. 2019

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Currently, natural gas in Brazil represents around 12.9% of the primary energy supply, with consistent annual growth during the last decade. However, Brazil is entering a time of uncertainty regarding future gas supply, mainly as import from Bolivia is being renegotiated. As such, diversification of gas supply sources and routes need to be considered. Energy systems and infrastructure models are essential tools in assisting energy planning decisions and policy programmes at regional and international levels. In this study, a novel combination of a simulationbased integrated assessment model (MUSE-South_Brazil) and the recently-developed Gas INfrastructure Optimisation model (GINO) is presented. The Brazilian region represented by the five southern states served by the Bolivian gas pipeline (GASBOL) has been investigated. Modelled projections suggest that regional gas demand would increase from 38.8 mcm/day in 2015 to 104.3 mcm/day by 2050, mainly driven by the increasing demand in the industry and power sectors. Therefore existing regional gas infrastructure would be insufficient to cover future demands. Three different renegotiation scenarios between Brazil and Bolivia were modelled, obtaining distinct costoptimal infrastructure expansion pathways. Depending on the scenario, the model expects gas demand to be covered by other supply options, such as an increase in pre-salt production, LNG imports and imports from a new Argentinian pipeline.

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Natural gas as a bridge to sustainability: Infrastructure expansion regarding energy security and system transition

Cited by 56 publications

References 16 publications

Spillover and dynamic effects of energy transition and economic growth on carbon dioxide emissions for the European Union: A dynamic spatial panel model

Spillover and dynamic effects of energy transition and economic growth on carbon dioxide emissions for the European Union: A dynamic spatial panel model

Heat and Electricity Supply Chains Expansion Planning Under the Umbrella of Energy Hub: A Case Study of Iran

Modelling cost-effective pathways for natural gas infrastructure: A southern Brazil case study

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