2023
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2022.0055
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Mutation bias and the predictability of evolution

Abstract: Predicting evolutionary outcomes is an important research goal in a diversity of contexts. The focus of evolutionary forecasting is usually on adaptive processes, and efforts to improve prediction typically focus on selection. However, adaptive processes often rely on new mutations, which can be strongly influenced by predictable biases in mutation. Here, we provide an overview of existing theory and evidence for such mutation-biased adaptation and consider the implications of these results for the problem of … Show more

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Cited by 17 publications
(14 citation statements)
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“…There is a growing body of literature that shows that mutation bias can be an important driver of adaptive outcomes (15,(51)(52)(53). Our results demonstrate that mutational biases can facilitate adaption, if they provide quick access to mutations conferring a trait under selection.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 61%
“…There is a growing body of literature that shows that mutation bias can be an important driver of adaptive outcomes (15,(51)(52)(53). Our results demonstrate that mutational biases can facilitate adaption, if they provide quick access to mutations conferring a trait under selection.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 61%
“…Unlike previous work on burstiness on a genotypic level [25, 28], including interesting parallels to work on clusters of identical mutations originating from a premeiotic mutational events [72], our bursts are fundamentally a phenotypic effect that cannot be identified from sequences alone. There has been significant work showing that mutational biases can be observed in a wide range of organisms [73], but these effects are also seen at the sequence level. To illustrate, why bursts are a phenotypic effect, let us consider the schematic in Fig 1.…”
Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This parameter (average mutation rate per site) is, however, of little evolutionary relevance ( [11], as well as in forensics: see [12][13][14]), as it does not allow us to determine if the population is in equilibrium, or if allele frequencies will change, possibly reaching fixation. The relevant parameters enabling this prediction are the allele specific mutation rates, m1>2 and m2>1, and the analysis of the same data from this point of view is shown in Table 3.…”
Section: Duosmentioning
confidence: 99%