Multi-objective optimization to evaluate tradeoffs among forest ecosystem services following fire hazard reduction in the Deschutes National Forest, USA

Schroder, Svetlana A.; Tóth, Sándor; Deal, Robert L.; Ettl, Gregory J.

doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2016.08.006

Cited by 39 publications

(26 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…), degrade water quality (Schroder et al. ), or increase a system's vulnerability to future drought despite short‐term reductions to stand‐level water use (McDowell et al. ).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future changes in fire weather, spring droughts, and false springs across U.S. National Forests and Grasslands

Martinuzzi

Allstadt

Pidgeon

et al. 2019

Ecological Applications

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Public lands provide many ecosystem services and support diverse plant and animal communities. In order to provide these benefits in the future, land managers and policy makers need information about future climate change and its potential effects. In particular, weather extremes are key drivers of wildfires, droughts, and false springs, which in turn can have large impacts on ecosystems. However, information on future changes in weather extremes on public lands is lacking. Our goal was to compare historical (1950–2005) and projected mid‐century (2041–2070) changes in weather extremes (fire weather, spring droughts, and false springs) on public lands. This case study looked at the lands managed by the U.S. Forest Service across the conterminous United States including 501 ranger district units. We analyzed downscaled projections of daily records from 19 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 General Circulation Models for two climate scenarios, with either medium‐low or high CO2− equivalent concentration (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5). For each ranger district, we estimated: (1) fire potential, using the Keetch‐Byram Drought Index; (2) frequency of spring droughts, using the Standardized Precipitation Index; and (3) frequency of false springs, using the extended Spring Indices. We found that future climates could substantially alter weather conditions across Forest Service lands. Under the two climate scenarios, increases in wildfire potential, spring droughts, and false springs were projected in 32–72%, 28–29%, and 13–16% of all ranger districts, respectively. Moreover, a substantial number of ranger districts (17–30%), especially in the Southwestern, Pacific Southwest, and Rocky Mountain regions, were projected to see increases in more than one type of weather extreme, which may require special management attention. We suggest that future changes in weather extremes could threaten the ability of public lands to provide ecosystem services and ecological benefits to society. Overall, our results highlight the value of spatially‐explicit weather projections to assess future changes in key weather extremes for land managers and policy makers.

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“…), degrade water quality (Schroder et al. ), or increase a system's vulnerability to future drought despite short‐term reductions to stand‐level water use (McDowell et al. ).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future changes in fire weather, spring droughts, and false springs across U.S. National Forests and Grasslands

Martinuzzi

Allstadt

Pidgeon

et al. 2019

Ecological Applications

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“…This issue is particularly crucial for managing fires under the increasing growth of "WUI-scapes". The use of such a strategy helps in the effective protection of overall ecosystem services [84,85].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Are Wildfires Knocking on the Built-Up Areas Door?

Mancini

Elia

Barbati

et al. 2018

Forests

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Human-started fires represent the vast majority of wildfires in Mediterranean countries. The current expansion of human settlements into fire-prone territories has led to the creation of landscapes where anthropogenic developments merge with wildland areas. In this context, understanding the role of distance from built-up areas in shaping coarse-scale wildfire spatial patterns is a major concern. Proximity to cities has become an important factor that may increase the probability of wildfires in wildland-urban interfaces. To this issue, we developed an assessment of wildfire distribution in Italy over an 8-year period (2007-2014) to quantify fire occurrence and recurrence as a function of distance from built-up areas. Our findings suggest a positive relationship between the distance from built-up areas and fire incidence (i.e., ratio between burnt forest area and total forest area), whereas a negative relation was found between distance from built-up areas and fire frequency and recurrence; thus, there are more recurring yet smaller sized-fires near built-up areas. Fifty percent of fire events and more than two-thirds of recurrent fires occur within 200 m from built-up areas. On the other hand, the considerable amount of such fire events never reaches an incidence higher than 10% in flat areas and 30% in hilly and mountainous areas. More broadly, quantitative knowledge about where fires occur is essential to ensure appropriate fire management throughout large territories. With this in mind, our investigation intends to provide a solid base for further studies in landscapes with a high component of human-dominated land use.

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“…The potential of GP is evident for trade-off analysis and has been widely implemented (e.g. Groot et al, 2012;Schroder et al, 2016). The utility for ecosystem service trade-off analyses is further evident by their ability to identify optimal management solutions for achievement of conflicting ES based goals, whilst potentially reducing local development conflicts (Dearing et al, 2012;White et al, 2012;Carrasco et al, 2014).…”

Section: Methodological Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Non pre-emptive GP was applied, which assumes that a decision-maker (DM) has a specific set of goals and that each goal can be weighted by preference with respect to the other(s) (Kaiser and Messer, 2011). The application of this type of model can be used to identify potential management solutions for achieving these goals, even in cases where goals are conflicting, demonstrating the utility of trade-off analysis (Schroder et al, 2016).…”

Section: Model Developmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

Drivers, impacts, and policy options to address land use changes at multiple scales : implications of food production, rural livelihoods, and ecosystem conservation

Manners¹

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I would further like to highlight the importance of the two European Commission funded projects within which I have been fortunate to participate. The projects ROBIN and PROTEIN2FOOD provided not only funding (2014-2016), but also much inspiration and support for this thesis. Exposure to international research groups, working on cutting edge methodologies and research fields offered fertile mediums within which to develop this investigation. From the ROBIN project, I would like to thank Dr Terry Parr (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, UK) for his support, Dr Marisol Toledo (Instituto Boliviano de Investigación iii Forestal, Bolivia) for her assistance in the development of the fieldwork used in this research, and to all researchers of the project who contributed. I must also thank the people of the Provincia de Guarayos (Bolivia), some of the most hospitable and welcoming people I have met. Further contributions of stakeholders to this work have been important and I must recognise the participation of local stakeholders in workshops performed in Santa Cruz (Bolivia), Jalisco (Mexico), and Pará (Brazil). From the PROTEIN2FOOD project, I want to thank Dr Sven-Erik Jacobsen (University of Copenhagen, Denmark) for his inputs and suggestions concerning the impacts of climate change on protein-rich crops across Europe, Andreas Detzel (IFEU, Germany) for his feedback and ideas on the trend analysis, to all researchers who provided comments and recommendations, and to the stakeholders of the two workshops performed within the project in Caserta (Italy) and Freising (Germany). During the development of this research I was extremely fortunate to participate in a summer school for doctoral students hosted by IRI-THESys (Integrative Research Institute on Transformations of Human-Environment Systems), Humboldt University (Berlin). The focus on human-environment systems and participatory methods for co-production and co-producing helped me to envisage and develop a more holistic perspective for academic research, readily applied in this doctoral investigation. In particular, I must thank Professors Tobias Krüger and Jörg Niewöhner for their insightful and thought provoking approach. I want to thank the members of my pre-doctoral thesis defence committee Professors Ana Tarquis Alfonso, Carlos Gregorio Hernández Díaz-Ambrona, and Irene Blanco. Their invaluable comments improved this document, its focus, and approach greatly. I must further voice my thanks to the institutional support provided by Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, specifically the School of Agricultural, Food, and Biosystems Engineering, particularly the Department of Agricultural Economics, Statistics, and Business Management and the Research Centre for the Management of Agricultural and Environmental Risks (CEIGRAM). These centres have nurtured me over the past 4 years and have offered me an inspiring research environment within which to develop this work. In particular, I must thank the heads of both entities during this time, Professors Isabel Bardaji Azcárat...

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Multi-objective optimization to evaluate tradeoffs among forest ecosystem services following fire hazard reduction in the Deschutes National Forest, USA

Cited by 39 publications

References 41 publications

Future changes in fire weather, spring droughts, and false springs across U.S. National Forests and Grasslands

Future changes in fire weather, spring droughts, and false springs across U.S. National Forests and Grasslands

Are Wildfires Knocking on the Built-Up Areas Door?

Drivers, impacts, and policy options to address land use changes at multiple scales : implications of food production, rural livelihoods, and ecosystem conservation

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