Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu and politics. The role of immigration in shaping natives' voting behavior

Barone, Guglielmo; D’Ignazio, Alessio; Blasio, Guido de; Naticchioni, Paolo

doi:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2016.03.002

Cited by 281 publications

(309 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…In particular, Barone et al (2014) empirically analyze the effect of immigration to Italy on political outcomes in the 2001, 2006 and 2008 national elections. This paper finds that the inflows of immigrants into a municipality increased the share of votes going to the centre-right party, which was more conservative on immigration issues than the centre-left one.…”

Section: Immigration (Stricter or Looser Immigration Policies)mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The empirical evidence from some European countries (see Barone et al (2014), Halla et al (2012) and Otto and Steinhardt (2014)) -where the indirect political effect of migration is more relevant than the direct one, as naturalization rates tend to be small -suggests that natives become more politically conservative when migration increases. If a similar effect takes place in the United States, the Republican vote share should increase when the fraction of non-citizen immigrants goes up, in which case we expect β 1 > 0.…”

Section: The Model-based Estimating Equationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Yet, empirical evidence from some European countries is exactly the opposite as it shows that immigrant inflows improve the electoral success of right-wing parties (see Barone et al (2014) and Halla et al (2012)). Our results, differentiating between citizen and non-citizen migrants, suggest one possible explanation of the difference between the European and U.S. findings.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Immigration to the U.S.: A Problem for the Republicans or the Democrats?

2016

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in Bonn is a local and virtual international research center and a place of communication between science, politics and business. IZA is an independent nonprofit organization supported by Deutsche Post Foundation. The center is associated with the University of Bonn and offers a stimulating research environment through its international network, workshops and conferences, data service, project support, research visits and doctoral program. IZA engages in (i) original and internationally competitive research in all fields of labor economics, (ii) development of policy concepts, and (iii) dissemination of research results and concepts to the interested public. Terms of use: Documents in D I S C U S S I O N P A P E R S E R I E SIZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character. A revised version may be available directly from the author. We empirically analyze the impact of immigration to the U.S. on the share of votes to the Republicans and Democrats between 1994 and 2012. Our analysis is based on variation across states and years -using data from the Current Population Survey merged with election data -and addresses the endogeneity of immigrant flows using a novel set of instruments. On average across election types, immigration to the U.S. has a significant and negative impact on the Republican vote share, consistent with the typical view of political analysts in the U.S. This average effect -which is driven by elections in the House -works through two main channels. The impact of immigration on Republican votes in the House is negative when the share of naturalized migrants in the voting population increases. Yet, it can be positive when the share of non-citizen migrants out of the population goes up and the size of migration makes it a salient policy issue in voters' minds. These results are consistent with naturalized migrants being less likely to vote for the Republican Party than native voters and with native voters' political preferences moving towards the Republican Party because of high immigration of non-citizens. This second effect, however, is significant only for very high levels of immigrant presence. JEL Classification:F22, J61

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Section: Immigration (Stricter or Looser Immigration Policies)mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: The Model-based Estimating Equationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Immigration to the U.S.: A Problem for the Republicans or the Democrats?

2016

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“…One particular focus is whether the presence of immigrants in a given area influences political views of the electorate. A recent literature suggests that this is the case and demonstrates a positive relationship between the proportion of immigrants in a given area and the receipt of votes by anti-immigration parties (see, for instance, Otto and Steinhardt, 2014;Barone et al, 2016;Sekeris and Vasilakis, 2016). More generally, it has been demonstrated that immigrant inflows lead to an increase in anti-immigrant attitudes in a given location (Halla et al, 2012).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For instance, a number of papers use the historical location of migrant networks as a source of exogenous variation in an attempt to hold immigrant sorting constant (Halla et al, 2012;Otto and Steinhardt, 2014;Barone et al, 2016).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The effect of far right parties on the location choice of immigrants: Evidence from Lega Nord Mayors

Bracco

Paola

Green

et al. 2018

Journal of Public Economics

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Immigration has increasingly taken centre-stage in the political landscape. Part of this has been rise in far-right, antiimmigration parties in a range of countries. Existing evidence suggests that the presence of immigrants has a substantial effect on the political views of the electorate, generating an advantage to these parties with anti-immigration or nationalist platforms. This paper explores a closely related issue but overlooked issue: how immigrant behavior is influenced by these parties. We focus on immigrant location decisions in Northern Italy which has seen the rise of the anti-immigration party Lega Nord. We construct a dataset of mayoral elections in Italy for the years 2002-2014, and calculate the effect of electing a mayor belonging to, or supported by Lega Nord. To identify this relationship we focus on mayors who have been elected with narrow margins of victory in a Regression Discontinuity framework. The election of Lega Nord mayor discourages immigrants from moving into the municipality.

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Measuring Fine-Grained Multidimensional Integration Using Mobile Phone Metadata: The Case of Syrian Refugees in Turkey

Piracha

Bejgo

et al. 2019

Guide to Mobile Data Analytics in Refugee Scenarios

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Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu and politics. The role of immigration in shaping natives' voting behavior

Cited by 281 publications

References 41 publications

Immigration to the U.S.: A Problem for the Republicans or the Democrats?

Immigration to the U.S.: A Problem for the Republicans or the Democrats?

The effect of far right parties on the location choice of immigrants: Evidence from Lega Nord Mayors

Measuring Fine-Grained Multidimensional Integration Using Mobile Phone Metadata: The Case of Syrian Refugees in Turkey

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