1998
DOI: 10.2307/2411081
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Mortality Plateaus and the Evolution of Senescence: Why are Old-Age Mortality Rates so Low?

Abstract: Age-specific mortality rates level off far below 100% at advanced ages in experimental populations of Drosophila melanogaster and other organisms. This observation is inconsistent with the equilibrium predictions of both the antagonistic pleiotropy and mutation accumulation models of senescence, which, under a wide variety of assumptions, predict a "wall" of mortality rates near 100% at postreproductive ages. Previous models of age-specific mortality patterns are discussed in light of recent demographic data c… Show more

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Cited by 86 publications
(72 citation statements)
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“…Among the pooled outbred lines, there is little evidence of deceleration (Figure 1, inset), although there does appear to be some deceleration among inbred lines. In contrast to previous studies with laboratory lines (eg, Pletcher and Curtsinger, 1998), late-age mortality rates are relatively high, with m x between 0.3 and 0.5 (-1.2 to -0.7 on a natural log scale) (Figure 1).…”
Section: Resultscontrasting
confidence: 86%
“…Among the pooled outbred lines, there is little evidence of deceleration (Figure 1, inset), although there does appear to be some deceleration among inbred lines. In contrast to previous studies with laboratory lines (eg, Pletcher and Curtsinger, 1998), late-age mortality rates are relatively high, with m x between 0.3 and 0.5 (-1.2 to -0.7 on a natural log scale) (Figure 1).…”
Section: Resultscontrasting
confidence: 86%
“…Instead, the rate of increase in mortality quickly decelerated and reached a plateau, as observed in many other studies (Carey et al 1992;Mueller and Rose 1996;Pletcher and Curtsinger 1998;Wachter 1999) and observed previously for both C. maculatus and S. limbatus (Fox and Moya-Laraño 2003;Fox et al 2003bFox et al , 2004a. This deceleration in the rate of increase in mortality reduced the relative difference between inbred and outbred beetles, reducing the estimated inbreeding load at older ages.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 75%
“…This model is similar to a Gompertz mortality model except that it incorporates a term, s, to account for the slowing of the increase in mortality rate with age (Pletcher and Curtsinger 1998); when s ¼ 0 the logistic model reduces to the Gompertz model. Both a Gompertz model and a Gompertz-Makeham model provided significantly worse fits to the data (in all analyses) than did the logistic model.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Thus, differences in extrinsic mortality rates did lead to the evolution of the expected differences in intrinsic mortality rates. Recently, there has been considerable discussion (33)(34)(35)(36) about the shape of mortality curves, stimulated by the observation of decelerating mortalities late in life (37). In this study, female age-specific intrinsic mortality (d x ) stopped increasing after about 65 days of age, then decreased, then increased again (Fig.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 75%