Modelling the location and consequences of aircraft accidents

Topological risk mapping of runway overruns: A probabilistic approach

“…-continuous improvement of probability and location models to include a wider spectrum of influencing factors, particularly the available excess runway [20]; -also the deceleration model, proposed by Kirkland et al [10] and adopted in the proposed PRA procedure, could be enhanced to remove the limits of a linear approximation and to account for a wider set of terrain and obstacle types; -the consequence model could also be enlarged and improved [20], to integrate some basic vulnerability assessment methods of infrastructure and buildings and also to enable the assessment of more complex accident scenarios (e.g. an overrun event ending with fire or explosion).…”

Fuzzy inference system for the efficiency assessment of hold baggage security control at the airport

“…Since the 1980's the main focus of the organisation of the aviation safety and security system was placed on preventing hijacking of aircrafts (Seidenstat and Splane, 2009) or mitigating the risk connected with airport operations (Jonkman and Verhoeven, 2013;Ayres Jr. et al, 2013). However, since the attacks on 11 September 2001 most attention is being paid to issues of terrorist threats, particularly acts of unlawful interference with the use of small quantities of very strong explosive substances.…”

Runway Safety Areas

“…The values of the coefficients were adopted from a study Modelling the location and Consequences of aircraft accidents [4], which identified 1,414 incidents and accidents from a database of more than 260,000 aviation incidents and accidents and therefore can be considered very accurate. The database also showed that most of the events (83%) happen during landing.…”

“…The TODRSL stands for Take-off Distance Required at Sea Level and TODR stands for Take-off Distance Required at the airport altitude of 237 meters. The formula used to calculate TODR [9] is: (4) The Take-off overrun scenario with the greatest dimensional requirements was used. The following figure (Figure 2) demonstrate the layout of Take-off overrun areas at both runway ends at Brno Airport.…”