Modelling regional variation of first-time births in Denmark 1980-1994 by an age-period-cohort model

Thygesen, Lau Caspar; Knudsen, Lisbeth B.; Keiding, Niels

doi:10.4054/demres.2005.13.23

Cited by 17 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 10 publications

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“…(2) (SAS Institute Inc., 1999). As pointed out by Thygesen et al (2005) when fitting models to data of a very large size which is the case here, almost any effect will be statistically significant. This, however, does not necessarily mean that the effect is substantively important.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 88%

Education and second birth rates in Denmark 1981-1994

Gerster¹,

Keiding²,

Knudsen³

et al. 2007

DemRes

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A high educational attainment is shown to have a positive effect on second birth rates for Danish one-child mothers during the period 1981-94. We examine whether a timesqueeze is a possible explanation: due to the longer enrolment in the educational system, highly educated women have less time at their disposal in order to get the desired number of children. Also, we examine to what extent the partnerŠs education can explain some of the positive effect. We find no evidence that the positive effect of education is due to a time-squeeze nor to a partner effect.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 88%

Education and second birth rates in Denmark 1981-1994

Gerster¹,

Keiding²,

Knudsen³

et al. 2007

DemRes

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“…For a long time, spatial fertility variation was an under-researched topic in the literature on low fertility in industrialised countries. However, recent contributions to the literature are evidence of the growing interest in spatial aspects of fertility, including urban-rural fertility differences (HANK 2001;THYGESEN et al 2005;DE BEER and DEERENBERG 2007;. Studies show that urban-rural fertility variation has decreased over time, but significant differences between various settlements persist.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Why Do Fertility Levels Vary between Urban and Rural Areas?

Kulu

2013

Regional Studies

112

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In this study, we examine the causes of fertility variation across settlements. We use rich longitudinal data from Finland and apply event history analysis. Our analysis shows that fertility levels are the highest in small towns and rural areas and the lowest in the capital city, as expected. The socioeconomic characteristics of women and selective migrations account for only a small portion of fertility variation across settlements. Housing conditions explain a significant portion of urban-rural fertility variation for first birth, but little variation for second and third birth. The analysis suggests that there are also significant contextual effects.

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“…Urban fertility, including both marital and overall, was lower than rural fertility during the last part of the first demographic transition, decreasing more rapidly with the second transition (Sharlin, 1986;). An increasing attention to spatial features of fertility levels emerged in recent literature (Hank 2001;Thygesen et al, 2005;De Beer & Deerenberg, 2007;, since urban-rural fertility variations may have decreased over time, but significant differences among various types of settlement still persist nowadays (Kulu, Vikat, & Andersson, 2007;Kulu, 2011). Fertility levels were higher in rural areas or small towns and lower in large cities, e.g.…”

Section: Suburban Fertility In Europementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Fertility levels were higher in rural areas or small towns and lower in large cities, e.g. in the United States (Glusker et al, 2000), Eastern Europe (Burcin & Kučera, 2000;Vobecká & Piguet, 2012;Vojtěchovská, 2000;Kulu, 2005;Philipov & Kohler, 2001), Northern Europe Thygesen, Knudsen & Keiding, 2005), England and Wales (Boyle et al, 2007;Tromans, Natamba & Jefferies, 2009), the Netherlands (De Beer & Deerenberg, 2007;Mulder & Wagner, 2001), Italy (Michielin, 2004;Vitali & Billari, 2011), as well as, in Germany and Austria (Hank, 2001;Kulu, 2006). Suburban fertility in contemporary Europe has started to increase since the 1950s-1960s, following the post-war baby boom and growing suburbanization ).…”

Section: Suburban Fertility In Europementioning

confidence: 99%

Unraveling the "suburban fertility hypothesis": Demographic implications and territorial consequences

Salvati¹,

Zambon²

2019

Demografija

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A complex interplay among socioeconomic transformations and the underlying demographic trends has occurred along the long-term development of European countries. For instance, fertility plays a key role along the urban-rural gradient contributing to understand population patterns and processes and allowing identification of factors, drivers and consequences of demographic transitions. This contribution focuses on the relationship between urban growth and demographic transition, discussing whether discontinuous and dispersed urban expansion can be associated with a specific phase of demographic transition, especially a higher suburban fertility compared with urban and rural areas. A review of the 'suburban fertility hypothesis' based on earlier studies carried out in advanced economies, with a specific focus on Europe, indicates that urban sprawl is associated to younger and larger families whose childbearing behaviors determine positive feedbacks in terms of local fertility and demographic dynamics at large, with spatial heterogeneity across European regions and countries.Sažetak: Tokom dugoročnog razvoja evropskih zemalja došlo je do složene međuzavisnosti između socio-ekonomskih promena i osnovnih demografskih trendova. Na primer, plodnost ima ključnu ulogu u urbano-ruralnom gradijentu, doprinoseći razumevanju populacionih obrazaca i procesa tako što omogućava identifikaciju faktora, pokretača i posledica demografskih tranzicija. Ovaj rad se fokusira na odnos između urbanog rasta i demografske tranzicije, raspravljajući o tome može li se diskontinuirana i raspršena urbana ekspanzija povezati sa specifičnom fazom demografske tranzicije, naročito sa visokim vrednostima suburbanog fertiliteta u poređenju sa urbanim i ruralnim oblastima. Peispitivanje "hipoteze o suburbanoj (prigradskoj) plodnosti" zasnovane na ranijim studijama koje su sprovedene u naprednim ekonomijama, sa posebnim fokusom na Evropu, ukazuje da je urbano širenje povezano sa mlađim i većim porodicama čija dečja reproduktivna ponašanja determinišu pozitivne efekte lokalnog fertiliteta i demografske dinamike uopšte, s prostornom heterogenošću širom evropskih regiona i zemalja.

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Modelling regional variation of first-time births in Denmark 1980-1994 by an age-period-cohort model

Cited by 17 publications

References 10 publications

Education and second birth rates in Denmark 1981-1994

Education and second birth rates in Denmark 1981-1994

Why Do Fertility Levels Vary between Urban and Rural Areas?

Unraveling the "suburban fertility hypothesis": Demographic implications and territorial consequences

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