Modelling nature-based tourism impacts on rural development and conservation in Sikunga Conservancy, Namibia

Gronau, Steven; Winter, Etti; Grote, Ulrike

doi:10.1080/0376835x.2016.1269638

Cited by 15 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 72 publications

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“…Livestock ownership affects the irrigation decision in a negative way. A limitation of the optimization methodology is the assumption of homo oeconomicus, i.e., rational decision-making (see [36]). A possible extension would be the inclusion of a utility function which also evaluates leisure (see [37]).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Parameters for the model calibration are primarily from the questionnaire. In addition, the data set is supplemented by secondary data on crop calendars [32], labor time, crop prices, crop yields, crop production costs [74] and off-farm wages [36]. The analysis also accounts for crop yield sensitivity to climate change [87] and different climate change scenarios [43].…”

Section: Sample Size and Data Acquisitionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This paper harmonizes the top-down and bottom-up approaches using the methodology of mathematical optimization. The quantitative method focuses on rational decision-making rather than subjective ex-post perceptions by actors [41,65] and is applicable for rural livelihoods [36] and agricultural analysis [18]. We design a farm planning model on the local level, simulate ex-ante climate change scenarios and investigate farmers' optimal resource allocation in a rural Zambian setting.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate change scenarios in Zambia: modeling farmers’ adaptation

2022

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Background At the center of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) by the United Nations is climate change. Analyzing adaptation processes is fundamental to enhance resilience in the poorest parts of the world. The analysis harmonizes top-down and bottom-up approaches by integrating general circulation models into the method of mathematical optimization. The article designs a quantitative farm planning model for rural Zambia and focuses on optimal allocation of land, labor and cultivation methods. Our research takes advantage of recent survey data of 277 Zambian households from 2018. The model simulates a baseline scenario, 2 climate change scenarios and 7 variations of farmers’ land availability, labor capacity and off-farm work possibility. This results in 21 possible future outcomes and farmer adaptations. Results Climate change negatively affects future livelihoods at the study site. A dry climate decreases a farmer’s wealth by around 30% and a wet climate by nearly 20%. However, simulations show households are able to sustain their livelihood through adaptation processes at the farm level. Farmers’ variation in land size for crop cultivation indicates the strongest livelihood impacts in response to climate change. Increasing the land for cultivation is the best response, whereas a reduction of labor supply at the farm leads to households being more vulnerable to a changing climate. Off-farm employments reveal significant potential for climate change adaptation. An increase in work opportunities at a refugee camp nearby has a significant positive effect on rural livelihoods, without reducing the households’ farm production. The refugee camp, however, may imply future land competition. Conclusions The study concludes climate change has a serious impact on farm yields and requires land and labor adjustments to prevent losses in wealth. Altering the cropping mix, reallocating planting times or changing farming techniques are meaningful instruments to respond to climate change at the study site. Agricultural intensification can increase the productivity per hectare and the mix of on- and off-farm work indicates income diversification as possible response to climate change. The analysis is specified to a rural farm context in Zambia, but is applicable to similar settings in sub-Saharan Africa and useful for local policy implementations towards climate change adaptation.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Sample Size and Data Acquisitionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate change scenarios in Zambia: modeling farmers’ adaptation

2022

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“…In the reviewed literature (e.g., Black & Cobbinah, 2018;Giampiccoli & Saayman, 2017;Gronau, Winter, & Grote, 2017;Lopes et al, 2017), NBS in tourism examines the conflict between humans and wildlife. Some papers provided solutions to mitigate climate change in China, while Rogan et al (2017) offered suggestions to curb threats to wildlife in the form of illegal bush meat hunting.…”

Section: Characteristics Of Nbs In Tourismmentioning

confidence: 99%

Nature-Based Solutions in Tourism: A Review of the Literature and Conceptualization

Panchapakesan

Ramakrishna

Rasoolimanesh

2019

Journal of Hospitality & Tourism Research

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“Nature based solutions” are innovative solutions, which are inspired from nature, and applied to contemporary societal problems such as climate change, overtourism, poverty alleviation, and so on. The research on “nature-based solutions” in tourism is rudimentary and the main objective of this study is to identify and conceptualize the nature-based solutions in tourism. For this purpose, a hybrid literature review has been conducted in the scientific fields of tourism and hospitality as well as agriculture, building sector, and urban planning. An examination of the characteristics of the nature-based solutions have led to its conceptualization based on six constituent dimensions such as empowerment of stakeholders, monitoring the state of natural environment, economic development of residents, adoption of environment-friendly solutions, and changing the mind-set of stakeholders. Finally, limitations of the current study have been identified and some recommendations for further research have been provided.

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“…They describe non-linear behavior (Masduqi et al, 2010). Here the signs of unsteadiness are (Gronau et al, 2017):…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Improving the socio-economic well-being of the population in rural areas in the context of improving the economic security of the state

Zakharchenko¹

2020

JESI

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Issues of improving the well-being of the population do not always belong to the category of strategic. In this case, the main value is determined by individual indicators that reflect the development of individual territories or industries. The relevance of the paper is determined by the ability of calculating indicators that form an idea of how well developed the socio-economic program of the territory development. The novelty of the study is determined by the fact that has been developed a model that allows to accumulate a number of formal indicators and thus not only specify the level of development of a particular territory or region, but also indicate the level of participation of private business in the development of socio-economic well-being. The authors include in the model the structure of socioeconomic indicators that have a personal basis and can be used to develop programs and systems for computer modelling of the socioeconomic development of the territory. The authors show that socio-economic well-being subsequently determines the level of economic security of the population. The practical significance of the study is determined by the capabilities of forecasting and applying indirect models for determining the socio-economic well-being of the population in the conditions of crisis conditions of the economy. It is proposed to use a set of balanced indicators of socio-economic development with a predominance of mathematical modelling patterns based on a set of market data.

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Modelling nature-based tourism impacts on rural development and conservation in Sikunga Conservancy, Namibia

Cited by 15 publications

References 72 publications

Climate change scenarios in Zambia: modeling farmers’ adaptation

Climate change scenarios in Zambia: modeling farmers’ adaptation

Nature-Based Solutions in Tourism: A Review of the Literature and Conceptualization

Improving the socio-economic well-being of the population in rural areas in the context of improving the economic security of the state

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