Modelling Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture

Ignaciuk, Ada; Mason-D’Croz, Daniel

doi:10.1787/5jxrclljnbxq-en

Cited by 30 publications

(22 citation statements)

References 32 publications

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“…The study recommended liberalizing trade with neighboring countries to smooth consumption and insulate the country from future regional price shocks. Lastly, a PE model was used to estimate the effects of climate change and adaptation measures in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries using the IMPACT model (Ignaciuk & Mason-D'Croz, 2014). This study quantifies the potential impacts of climate change on crop yields and prices and outlines possible adaptation strategies and investment required for research and development on new crop varieties and to improve irrigation technologies.…”

Section: Partial Equilibriummentioning

confidence: 99%

Developing Climate-Smart Agriculture Policies: The Role of Economic Modeling

Crouch¹,

Lapidus²,

Beach³

et al. 2017

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This PDF document was made available from www.rti.org as a public service of RTI International. More information about RTI Press can be found at http://www.rti.org/rtipress. RTI International is an independent, nonprofit research organization dedicated to improving the human condition by turning knowledge into practice. The RTI Press mission is to disseminate information about RTI research, analytic tools, and technical expertise to a national and international audience. RTI Press publications are peerreviewed by at least two independent substantive experts and one or more Press editors.

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Section: Partial Equilibriummentioning

confidence: 99%

Developing Climate-Smart Agriculture Policies: The Role of Economic Modeling

Crouch¹,

Lapidus²,

Beach³

et al. 2017

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“…An interesting aim of future research could be to determine the effects of adaptation policies that increase public spending on research and technology. On-going efforts in this direction have been reported in Ignaciuk and Mason-D'Croz (2014 …”

Section: Adaptation Policiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling the Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Global and European Agriculture. Review of Economic Structural Approaches

Fernandez

Blanco

2015

Economics

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The economic effects of climate change on agriculture have been widely assessed in the last two decades. Many of these assessments are based on the integration of biophysical and agroeconomic models, allowing to understand the physical and socio-economic responses of the agricultural sector to future climate change scenarios. The evolution of the bio-economic approach has gone through different stages. This review analyses its evolution: firstly, framing the bio-economic approach into the context of the assessments of climate change impacts, and secondly, by reviewing empirical studies at the global and European level. Based on this review, common findings emerge in both global and regional assessments. Among them, the authors show that overall results tend to hide significant disparities on smaller spatial scales. Furthermore, due to the effects of crop prices over yield changes, several authors highlight the need to consider endogenous price models to assess production impacts of climate change. Further, major developments are discussed: the progress made since the last two decades and the recent methods used to provide insights into modeling uncertainties. However, there are still challenges to be met. On this matter, the authors take these unresolved challenges as guidelines for future research. JEL C63 Q10 Q11 Q17 Q54

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“…Although some potential benefits may be reaped from longer vegetation periods in cool regions or increased carbon fertilisation effects (Stokes and Howden, 2011), the majority of studies agree that global average crop yields are likely to be negatively affected, especially if the average global temperature increases by two degrees or more (Ciscar et al, 2011;Howden et al, 2007;Ignaciuk and Mason D'Croz, 2014;Nelson et al, 2009). Additionally, if global temperatures continue to rise, water scarcity may be significantly exacerbated in many regions and affect local agriculture (Schellnhuber et al, 2013).…”

Section: Why Are Adaptation Policies Important?mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Adaptation may also be planned, that is when actions are deliberately planned in order to avoid negative impacts in the future. Examples include investment in more resilient seeds or technologies to improve irrigation efficiency (Ignaciuk and Mason D'Croz, 2014).…”

Section: Specific Characteristics Of Adaptationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adapting Agriculture to Climate Change

Ignaciuk

2015

OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers

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Modelling Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture

Cited by 30 publications

References 32 publications

Developing Climate-Smart Agriculture Policies: The Role of Economic Modeling

Developing Climate-Smart Agriculture Policies: The Role of Economic Modeling

Modelling the Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Global and European Agriculture. Review of Economic Structural Approaches

Adapting Agriculture to Climate Change

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