2018
DOI: 10.14202/vetworld.2018.259-267
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Modeling the potential risk factors of bovine viral diarrhea prevalence in Egypt using univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses

Abstract: Aim:The present cross-sectional study was conducted to determine the seroprevalence and potential risk factors associated with Bovine viral diarrhea virus (BVDV) disease in cattle and buffaloes in Egypt, to model the potential risk factors associated with the disease using logistic regression (LR) models, and to fit the best predictive model for the current data.Materials and Methods:A total of 740 blood samples were collected within November 2012-March 2013 from animals aged between 6 months and 3 years. The … Show more

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Cited by 33 publications
(24 citation statements)
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References 31 publications
(29 reference statements)
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“…The true prevalence of BVDV at the animal-level observed in this study (36%) was higher compared to studies carried out in cattle populations of Ecuador (27.0%) [18], Ethiopia (32.6%) [19], and Malaysia (33.2%) [20], but lower than the BVDV prevalence observed in cattle of Egypt (40%) [21] and Bangladesh (51.1%) [22]. In Colombia, the first outbreak of BVD was reported in 1987, which was associated with the import of a group of heifers from the Netherlands in 1975 [5,11].…”
Section: Discussioncontrasting
confidence: 85%
“…The true prevalence of BVDV at the animal-level observed in this study (36%) was higher compared to studies carried out in cattle populations of Ecuador (27.0%) [18], Ethiopia (32.6%) [19], and Malaysia (33.2%) [20], but lower than the BVDV prevalence observed in cattle of Egypt (40%) [21] and Bangladesh (51.1%) [22]. In Colombia, the first outbreak of BVD was reported in 1987, which was associated with the import of a group of heifers from the Netherlands in 1975 [5,11].…”
Section: Discussioncontrasting
confidence: 85%
“…On the other hand, the present nding was lower than the nding reported by [25], [24] and [26] with seroprevalence of 32.6%, 32.9% and 51.9%, respectively in dairy cattle in Ethiopian. The present nding also disagrees with reported seroprevalence of 19.8% in Kenya, 27% in Ecuador, 36% in Colombia, and 40% in Egypt by [35], [36], [37] and [38] respectively in different parts of the world. However, the present nding was higher prevalence compare to the prevalence of 2.2% and 7.76% reported by [39] and [40] in Nepal, respectively.…”
Section: Discussioncontrasting
confidence: 99%
“…Finally, BVDV exposure was present in 7.7% of cattle and no buffalo samples, suggesting that cattle are more susceptible to infection than buffalo [59, 60]. The number of females > 6 months of age was used as an indicator of farm size and increased significantly with the probability of herds being BVDV seropositive (Table 9).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%