Modeling the Number of Cases of Tuberculosis Sensitive Drugs (TBSD) in East Java using Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression (GWPR)

Abstract

Tuberculosis lungs attacked the most productive age group (15-50 years), social economy is weak and low education. Estimated a patient Tb adult will lose the average time it works 3-4 months. This resulted in the loss of annual revenue run their house around 20-30%. In addition to harm economically, TB also provides other negative impact socially, even excluded by the community. In this research will be discussed about the factors that were supposed to affect many cases for TBSD which occurred in East Java with Poisson regression. but because they found the existence of the case of overdispersi so that need to pay attention to the factors location from the point of observation and used GWPR. From the results of the analysis and discussion, obtained the result that GWPR model more appropriate to analyze the patients TbSD in East Java because it has smaller AIC value . The dominant factor in influencing TBSD in all districts in East Java is the percentage of poor families (X 1 ), except in Ngawi district and Magetan. For bTA + (X 2 ), the number of HIV/AIDS (X 3 ), numbers genesis diabetes mellitus (X 4 ), the percentage of the population density (X 5 ) and rasio health workers (X 6 ) affect TBSD patients in 7 groups of districts in East Java.

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“…Add 100 μl of Streptavidin solution, incubate for 45 minutes at room temperature (5). Add 100 μl of One-Step Substrate TMB reagent, incubated for 30 minutes at room temperature (6). Add 50 μl Stop Solution and read immediately on 450 nm wave.…”

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