Modeling the Macroeconomic Impact of HIV/AIDS

Haacker, Markus

doi:10.5089/9781451859928.001

Cited by 23 publications

(27 citation statements)

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“…(See Cuddington, 1993a, Cuddington and Hancock, 1994, and Cuddington et al, 1994 who were followed by Arndt and Lewis, 2000, Nicholls et al, 2000, Robalino, Voetberg and Picazo, 2002, and Haacker, 2002. Extensions have included the modeling of a dual economy, with formal and informal sectors-as in Over (1992), Cuddington (1993b), and Cuddington and One-sector models have sometimes been criticized for assuming full employment (Haacker, 2002).…”

Section: Modeling the Impact Of Hiv/aids On Economic Growthmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Attempts to deviate from this basic model by constructing multiple sectors or following an econometric approach are either burdened by astonishingly bold assumptions 5 or are reported to provide weak and inconclusive evidence, as convincingly argued by Haacker (2002).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Honduras poses an interesting case of analysis. Much of the impact of HIV/AIDS on economic growth in Africa and the Middle East comes from shifts in the relative composition of skills and sizable reductions in human capital accumulation; see Haacker (2002), Masha (2004) or Salinas and Haacker (2006) for recent reviews. The epidemic may not lead to such results in Honduras.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…See Jenkins and Robalino (2003) for a concise review of these channels and others that are less frequently analyzed (such as fiscal balances or the public wage bill). 5 Among such assumptions, populations are modelled as unable to age as in Salinas and Haacker (2006), or the epidemic is modelled to affect productivity by some pre-determined quadratic equation used across different countries as reported in Haacker (2002).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

Does a Mature Aids Epidemic Threaten Growth?

Cuesta

2008

SSRN Journal

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. The views and interpretations in this document are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the Inter-American Development Bank, or to any individual acting on its behalf. This paper may be freely reproduced provided credit is given to the Research Department, InterAmerican Development Bank. Terms of use: Documents inThe Research Department (RES) produces a quarterly newsletter, IDEA (Ideas for Development in the Americas), as well as working papers and books on diverse economic issues. To obtain a complete list of RES publications, and read or download them please visit our web site at: http://www.iadb.org/res.3 AbstractThis paper models the impact on economic growth of HIV/AIDS when the epidemic is in a mature phase, in contrast with previous studies focused on periods of expansion, as in African countries. Simulations for Honduras, the epicenter of the epidemic in Central America, show that AIDS is not likely to threaten economic growth through either labor or capital accumulation channels; impacts are estimated between 0.007 and 0.27 percent points of GDP growth annually for the period 2001-10. Likewise, increasing spending on prevention, public treatment subsidies and treatment access will not jeopardize economic growth prospects. Critical factors that slash economic growth in Africa (such as human capital reductions and shifts in relative skills) are not strong in Honduras.

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Section: Modeling the Impact Of Hiv/aids On Economic Growthmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Does a Mature Aids Epidemic Threaten Growth?

Cuesta

2008

SSRN Journal

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“…However, economic consequences of HIV/AIDS are difficult to precisely quantify [15,16,23]. For example, [50][51][52] give some approaches to quantifying economic effects and also [32,33] model different scenarios of HIV/AIDS and their effects on rural household livelihoods and economy in Malawi.…”

Section: Epidemiological and Socioeconomic Effects Of Hiv/aids In Malawimentioning

confidence: 99%

Socio-demographic Implications of HIV/AIDS in Malawi

Nyirongo¹

2012

TODEMOJ

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Malawi is one of the countries in the sub-Saharan Africa with high prevalence of HIV/AIDS. This paper analyzes socio-demographic effects using estimates and projections by the United Nations Population Division. It compares estimates and projections for both short term (2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)(2010)(2011)(2012)(2013)(2014)(2015)(2016)(2017)(2018)(2019)(2020) and also long term , with the reality of HIV/AIDS and without the scenario of it. Detailed comparisons are made on population structure and main demographic processes for Malawi (mortality and fertility). The paper compares stock and period indicators, including life expectancy, crude birth rates, crude death rates, age specific fertility rates and child dependency ratios. Considerable effects of HIV/AIDS on mortality and child dependency ratios are observed with the highest point of impact around 1995. With the HIV/AIDS scenario, there is about 6-13 years of reduction in life expectancy at birth for the period from 1995 to 2050. Most likely, persisting HIV/AIDS demographic impacts will continue perpetuating socio-demographic impacts.

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Impact of HIV/aids epidemic on human capital development in West Africa

Dauda

2018

Health Planning & Management

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West Africa occupies the third position with respect to the burden of human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immune deficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) globally, after Southern and East Africa. About 5 million adults and children are infected with the disease in the subregion, while HIV prevalence in the general population hovers around 2% and 5%. This paper attempts to investigate the impact of HIV/AIDS epidemic on human capital development in 11 West African countries over the period 1990 to 2011. The study used a dynamic panel data modeling approach, using first difference, difference generalized methods of moment, and system generalized methods of moment estimating techniques. Four measures of HIV/AIDS and 2 human capital measures were used in the study. The findings revealed that HIV/AIDS pandemic had negative and significant impact on human capital in West Africa. However, the statistical significance was more pronounced on life expectancy (a measure of human capital), while the negative impact on school enrolment (another human capital measure) was not significant. It is therefore recommended that the spread of HIV/AIDS disease in West Africa should be effectively controlled, while the number of infected persons undergoing antiretroviral therapy in the subregion should be increased to a near 100% coverage.

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Modeling the Macroeconomic Impact of HIV/AIDS

Cited by 23 publications

References 9 publications

Does a Mature Aids Epidemic Threaten Growth?

Does a Mature Aids Epidemic Threaten Growth?

Socio-demographic Implications of HIV/AIDS in Malawi

Impact of HIV/aids epidemic on human capital development in West Africa

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