Does a Mature Aids Epidemic Threaten Growth?

Abstract

Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. The views and interpretations in this document are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the Inter-American Development Bank, or to any individual acting on its behalf. This paper may be freely reproduced provided credit is given to the Research Department, InterAmerican Development Bank. Terms of use: Documents inThe Research Department (RES) produces a quarterly newsletter, IDEA (Ideas for Development in the Americas), as well as working papers and books on diverse economic issues. To obtain a complete list of RES publications, and read or download them please visit our web site at: http://www.iadb.org/res.3 AbstractThis paper models the impact on economic growth of HIV/AIDS when the epidemic is in a mature phase, in contrast with previous studies focused on periods of expansion, as in African countries. Simulations for Honduras, the epicenter of the epidemic in Central America, show that AIDS is not likely to threaten economic growth through either labor or capital accumulation channels; impacts are estimated between 0.007 and 0.27 percent points of GDP growth annually for the period 2001-10. Likewise, increasing spending on prevention, public treatment subsidies and treatment access will not jeopardize economic growth prospects. Critical factors that slash economic growth in Africa (such as human capital reductions and shifts in relative skills) are not strong in Honduras.

Hastaliklar Ve Ekonomi̇k Büyüme İli̇şki̇si̇ni̇ Açiklayan Modeller Ve Yeni̇ Bi̇r Model Öneri̇si̇

“…(1999), Bollinger & Stover (1999), Bonnel (2000), Ardnt & Lewis (2000), Quattek & Fourie (2000), Vanaardt (2000), Liu ve ark. (2002), Haacker (2002), Drimie (2002), Mcdonal & Roberts (2004), Abegunde & Stanciole (2006), Cuesta (2008), Bradley ve ark. (2008), Bradley ve ark.…”

“…,Koopmanschap et al (1995),Bollinger et al(1999),Bollinger ve Stover (1999),Bonnel (2000),Ardnt ve Lewis (2000),Quattek ve Fourie (2000),Vanaardt (2000),Liu et al (2002),Haacker (2002),Drimie (2002),Mcdonal ve Roberts (2004),Abegunde ve Stanciole (2006),Cuesta (2008),Bradley et al (2008),Bradley et al (2011),Mahal et al (2013),Kabajulizi ve Ncube (2015),Maijama (2015) tarafından yapılan ampirik çalışmalar hastalıkların ulusal gelir düzeyi üzerindeki etkilerini analiz eden çalışmalardır Maijama et al (2015). tarafından yapılan çalışma dışındaki bütün çalışmalarda hastalıkların emek verimliliğini ve emek arzını negatif etkileyerek çıktı düzeyinde azalmaya neden olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır Maijama et al (2015),.…”