2018
DOI: 10.3354/meps12375
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Modeling long-term fluctuations in the distribution and abundance of Engraulis anchoita eggs and larvae in the southeastern Brazilian bight

Abstract: Most data sets of ichthyoplankton contain a high frequency of zeros, and, not considering the possible inflation of zero counts, as in most studies, may result in incorrect model predictions. Thus, we modeled abundance of Engraulis anchoita eggs and larvae sampled during 18 oceanographic cruises conducted between 1974 and 2010 using zero-inflated (ZI) models. ZI models are mixture models with 2 components: (1) containing false zeros (due to design, survey or observer errors) modeled using a binomial generalize… Show more

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Cited by 4 publications
(5 citation statements)
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References 59 publications
(25 reference statements)
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“…Decreasing trends in egg abundance, a proxy of E. anchoita biomass, are correlated with positive SST anomalies and high salinity conditions in the northern Argentine shelf (Auad and Martos 2012). Off southern Brazil, egg and larval abundance of anchovy are also negatively correlated with temperature fluctuations (del Favero et al 2018). A long-term analysis (1991-2017) also revealed a declining trend in Argentine anchovy landings (34°-41°S), together with a decrease in the size and weight at age (Prenski et al 2016 and references therein).…”
Section: Fisheriesmentioning
confidence: 93%
“…Decreasing trends in egg abundance, a proxy of E. anchoita biomass, are correlated with positive SST anomalies and high salinity conditions in the northern Argentine shelf (Auad and Martos 2012). Off southern Brazil, egg and larval abundance of anchovy are also negatively correlated with temperature fluctuations (del Favero et al 2018). A long-term analysis (1991-2017) also revealed a declining trend in Argentine anchovy landings (34°-41°S), together with a decrease in the size and weight at age (Prenski et al 2016 and references therein).…”
Section: Fisheriesmentioning
confidence: 93%
“…Zero‐inflated negative binomial modeling of Argentine Anchovy Engraulis anchoita eggs was conducted to address issues of false‐zero counts and true‐zero counts (Favero et al. ); however, a gap persists wherein a single egg collection event in space (without replication and without accounting for detection probability) may result in an underestimation of egg abundance (Favero et al. ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…); however, a gap persists wherein a single egg collection event in space (without replication and without accounting for detection probability) may result in an underestimation of egg abundance (Favero et al. ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Various monitoring programs have constituted long‐term data sets of egg and larval information (Favero et al. 2018, McClatchie 2014, McClatchie et al. 2014, Smith et al.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%