Modeling Cost Impacts and Adaptation of Freeze–Thaw Climate Change on a Porous Asphalt Road Network

Kwiatkowski, Kyle; Stipanović, Irina; Maat, Herbert ter; Hartmann, Andreas; Chinowsky, Paul S.; Dewulf, Geert P.M.R.

doi:10.1061/(asce)is.1943-555x.0000559

Cited by 19 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 27 publications

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“…Other studies show qualitatively similar results for low‐lying European countries. DZCs for the Netherlands are expected to decrease (Kwiatkowski et al ., 2020). For Lithuania, Šidlauskaitė and Kažys (2019) conclude from a study based on statistical downscaling from three CMIP5 models that the number of DZCs will increase during the first decades, but then decrease towards 2081–2100.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projected changes in days with zero‐crossings for Norway

Nilsen

Hanssen-Bauer

Tveito

et al. 2020

Intl Journal of Climatology

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This paper describes annual and seasonal changes in the number of days with 0 C crossings, comparing projections (2071-2100) based upon regional climate model (RCM) results under the medium and high emission scenarios with the period 1971-2000. A trend analysis of historical observations of days with zero-crossings (DZCs) for the period 1971-2016 showed a general increase in DZCs in cold seasons and regions and a decrease in DZCs in mild seasons and regions. A cold bias in the unadjusted EURO-CORDEX model ensemble rendered bias-adjustment necessary before analyses. In regions and seasons that are mild, temperatures will exceed 0 C during a larger part of the year by the end of this century, and the number of DZCs is thus projected to decrease. This decrease was found for lowland regions in spring and coastal regions in winter. In regions and seasons that are cold, temperatures will rise up above 0 C for a larger part of the year, such that the number of DZCs is projected to give more frequent crossings of the 0 C threshold. This increase was found for inland regions in winter and Finnmark, the northernmost county, in spring. Thus, more frequent icing of the snowpack is expected in Finnmark. However, less frequent icing in coastal and lowland regions may indicate a lesser need for winter road maintenance.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projected changes in days with zero‐crossings for Norway

Nilsen

Hanssen-Bauer

Tveito

et al. 2020

Intl Journal of Climatology

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“…The logistics of the cross-border supply chain that affects so much economic activity in the Northeast and Midwestern United States as well as Eastern Canada runs through the region [14,32] . Previous assessments of vulnerability to the impacts of climate change in Canada's road and rail system combined with the volume of goods movement in this region necessitate the development of a framework for prioritizing and investing in resilient infrastructure beyond current design parameters [27,35,47] . Much of the current planning for disasters and adverse events affecting citywide and regional transportation systems relies on parameters derived from historical data rather than on predictive RCPs/SSPs.…”

Section: Case Study In the Region Of Peelmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This planning also largely disregards the varied consequences of climate change on the economy and social welfare [2,21,29,35,48]. The results of previous assessments of the vulnerability of Canada's road and rail system to the impacts of climate change and the volume of goods movement in this region therefore necessitate the development of a framework for prioritizing and investing in resilient infrastructure beyond current design parameters [27,35,47] .…”

Section: Case Study In the Region Of Peelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Defining a novel method to undertake sectoral risk management under climate change: a case study of intermodal transportation in the Peel Region, Ontario, Canada

Rahim,

Wilson,

Johnson

2024

Carbon Footprints

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All levels of government must prepare for an increase in adverse weather events related to climate change. Developing resilient transportation infrastructure is critical to minimizing disruptions, economic loss, and human health impacts. A challenge for national and regional governments, however, is understanding how to prioritize investments given risk levels and limited resources. This study proposes a framework, using the Region of Peel, Canada as a case study to identify and prioritize key risks in a critical economic sector for the region: intermodal goods movement. The framework integrates projected changes in weather patterns, estimating the damage to infrastructure, interruption of economic activity, and adverse impacts on the workforce, accounting also for impacts on communities, for sound policy formulation. The framework will underpin a data collection plan to inform future policy and investment in strengthening adaptation and resilience to the most likely hazards affecting goods movement. The framework was designed with a view to being easily adapted to other sectors and regions.

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“…Besides, Western countries are confronted with outdated grid structures. Grids and infrastructure in general are desperately in need of repair and increasingly so since they are subject to weather disruptions due to climate change (Kiatkowski et al, 2020). Another challenge of the fast digitization is how to govern cybersecurity.…”

Section: Disruptive Times As Accelerator Of Disruptive Innovationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Disruptive Times, Disruptive Engineering, the Need for New Approaches for Disruptive Project Management

Dewulf¹

2021

EPOJ

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Modeling Cost Impacts and Adaptation of Freeze–Thaw Climate Change on a Porous Asphalt Road Network

Cited by 19 publications

References 27 publications

Projected changes in days with zero‐crossings for Norway

Projected changes in days with zero‐crossings for Norway

Defining a novel method to undertake sectoral risk management under climate change: a case study of intermodal transportation in the Peel Region, Ontario, Canada

Disruptive Times, Disruptive Engineering, the Need for New Approaches for Disruptive Project Management

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