“…Models of primary infection have also been developed by Phillips (1996), Nowak et al (1997a) and Murray et al (1998). In addition, numerous models have been proposed to capture many of the features of progression to AIDS following the initial viral spike (Reibnegger et al, 1989;Hraba et al, 1990;Nowak et al, 1990;McLean & Kirkwood, 1990;Nowak et al, 1991;McLean & Nowak, 1992, Perelson et al, 1993Essunger & Perelson, 1994;Schenzle et al, 1994;Stilianakis et al, 1997;Kirschner et al, 1998). A comprehensive model*one capable of predicting the spike, the asymptomatic phase, and progression to AIDS*is ultimately desired, but much can be learned by studying the early events.…”