Maximum Storm Surge Curve Due to Global Warming for the European North Sea Region During the 20th–21st Century

Gönnert, Gabriele

doi:10.1023/b:nhaz.0000031314.21789.f2

Cited by 11 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…Physical factors have been assessed through tide/storm surge models on the Atlantic coasts of Europe and Canada (Gonnert, 2004, Danard et al 2003Demernard et al 2002;Lowe et al 2001). Characteristic of this modeling approach is the spatial detail, as spatial heterogeneity matters even within the boundary of a country (as an example see Lowe et al (2001) for the UK).…”

Section: Extreme Events In Coastal Areas and Sea Level Risementioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change, sea level rise, and coastal disasters. A review of modeling practices

Bosello

Cian

2014

Energy Economics

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Abstract.The climate change impacts on sea level rise and coastal disasters, and the possible adaptation responses have been studied using very different approaches, such as very detailed site-specific engineering studies and global macroeconomic assessments of costal zones vulnerability. This paper reviews the methodologies and the modeling practices used by the sea level rise literature. It points at the strengths and weaknesses of each approach, motivating differences in results and in policy implications. Based on the studies surveyed, this paper also identifies potential directions for future research.

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Section: Extreme Events In Coastal Areas and Sea Level Risementioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change, sea level rise, and coastal disasters. A review of modeling practices

Bosello

Cian

2014

Energy Economics

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“…Storm surges are a major contributor to extremely high sea levels and catastrophic flooding (Han et al, 2017; Liu et al, 2018). The risks from extreme weather events, such as typhoons and storm surges, are increasing due to the effects of global warming (Gonnert, 2004; Nakamura et al, 2016; Sang, 2013; Zhang et al, 2000) and rising sea levels (Hallegatte et al, 2010; Losada et al, 2013; Mcinnes et al, 2009; Vermaire et al, 2013). Globally, these events are hotspots of high risk that threaten the survival and development of human beings in coastal areas and are becoming a major challenge facing the international community.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Contemporary monitoring of storm surge activity

2019

Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment

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There is growing interest in storm surge activity related to catastrophic events and their unintended consequences in terms of casualties and damage around the world and in increasing populations and issues along coastal areas in the context of global warming and rising sea levels. Accordingly, knowledge on storm surge monitoring has progressed significantly in recent years, and this review, focused on monitoring the spatial and temporal variability of storm surges, responds to the need for a synthesis. Three main components are presented in the review: (1) monitoring storm surges from the viewpoint of three effective approaches; (2) understanding the challenges faced by the three monitoring approaches to increase our awareness of monitoring storm surges; (3) identifying three research priorities and orientations to provide new ideas in future storm surge monitoring. From the perspective of monitoring approaches, recent progress was achieved with respect to tide gauges, satellite altimetry and numerical simulation. Storm surge events can nowadays be identified accurately, and the surge heights can be calculated based on long-term tide gauge observations. The changing frequency and intensity of storm surge activity, combined with statistical analysis and climatology, can be used to enable a better understanding of the possible regional or global long-term trends. Compared with tidal observation data, satellite altimetry has the advantage of providing offshore sea level information to an accuracy of 10 cm. In addition, satellite altimetry can provide more effective observations for studying storm surges, such as transient surge data of the deep ocean. Simultaneously, the study of storm surges via numerical simulation has been further developed, mainly reflected in the gradual improvement of simulation accuracy but also in the refinement of comprehensive factors affecting storm surge activity. However, from the above approaches, storm surge activity monitoring cannot fully reflect the spatial and temporal variability of storm surges, especially the spatial changes at a regional or global scale. In particular, compared to global storm surge, tide gauges and satellite altimeters are relatively sparse, and the spatial distribution is extremely uneven, which often seriously restricts the overall understanding of the spatial distribution features of storm surge activity. Numerical models can be used as a tool to overcome the above-mentioned shortcomings for storm surge monitoring, as they provide real-time spatiotemporal features of storm surge events. But long-term numerical hindcast of tides and surges requires an extremely high computational effort. Considering the shortcomings of the above approaches and the impact of climate change, there is no clear approach to remedy the framework for studying the spatial and temporal characteristics of global or regional storm surge activity at a climatic scale. Therefore, we show how new insights or techniques are useful for the monitoring of future crises. This work is especially important in planning efforts by policymakers, coastal managers, civil protection managers and the general public to adapt to climate change and rising sea levels.

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