Climate change, sea level rise, and coastal disasters. A review of modeling practices

Bosello, Francesco; Cian, Enrica De

doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2013.09.002

Cited by 48 publications

(25 citation statements)

References 61 publications

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“…In FAIR and WITCH, this is a direct consequence of the type of production function used. This is a common finding in the literature as described for example in Bosello and De Cian (2014). Towards 2100, and in particular for high ice melting scenarios (panels on the left-hand side), both WITCH and FAIR project larger macroeconomic effects relative to direct impacts.…”

Section: Global Macroeconomic Impactssupporting

confidence: 62%

“…Other CGE studies have focused on SLR impacts explicitly (Bosello et al 2007, 2012, Carrera et al 2015, Pycroft et al 2016. Bosello and De Cian (2014) present a thorough literature review covering the different applications and methodologies followed by CGE models for the assessment of SLR impacts, indicating the strengths and caveats of the approaches.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Economy-wide effects of coastal flooding due to sea level rise: a multi-model simultaneous treatment of mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts

Schinko

Drouet

Vrontisi

et al. 2020

Environ. Res. Commun.

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This article presents a multi-model assessment of the macroeconomic impacts of coastal flooding due to sea level rise and the respective economy-wide implications of adaptation measures for two greenhouse gas (GHG) concentration targets, namely the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP)2.6 and RCP4.5, and subsequent temperature increases. We combine our analysis, focusing on the global level, as well as on individual G20 countries, with the corresponding stylized RCP mitigation efforts in order to understand the implications of interactions across mitigation, adaptation and sea level rise on a macroeconomic level. Our global results indicate that until the middle of this century, differences in macroeconomic impacts between the two climatic scenarios are small, but increase substantially towards the end of the century. Moreover, direct economic impacts can be partially absorbed by substitution effects in production processes and via international trade effects until 2050. By 2100 however, we find that this dynamic no longer holds and economy-wide effects become even larger than direct impacts. The disturbances of mitigation efforts to the overall economy may in some regions and for some scenarios lead to a counterintuitive result, namely to GDP losses that are higher in RCP26 than in RCP45, despite higher direct coastal damages in the latter scenario. Within the G20, our results indicate that China, India and Canada will experience the highest macroeconomic impacts, in line with the respective direct climatic impacts, with the two first large economies undertaking the highest mitigation efforts in a cost-efficient global climate action. A sensitivity analysis of varying socioeconomic assumptions highlights the role of climate-resilient development as a crucial complement to mitigation and adaptation efforts.

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Section: Global Macroeconomic Impactssupporting

confidence: 62%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economy-wide effects of coastal flooding due to sea level rise: a multi-model simultaneous treatment of mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts

Schinko

Drouet

Vrontisi

et al. 2020

Environ. Res. Commun.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…A large number of communities are already exposed to coastal flooding. As noted by [12], there are 136 major port cities with more than one million inhabitants each, 13 of which are among the top 20 most populated cities in the world. Nicholls (2008) [13] suggests that exposure to coastal flooding is expected to increase with growing populations and the increased economic relevance of coastal cities, particularly in developing countries.…”

Section: Sea Level Rise Impacts On Coastal Areasmentioning

confidence: 99%

Resilience of Infrastructure Systems to Sea-Level Rise in Coastal Areas: Impacts, Adaptation Measures, and Implementation Challenges

Almeida

Mostafavi

2016

Sustainability

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Expansive areas of low elevation in many densely populated coastal areas are at elevated risk of storm surges and flooding due to torrential precipitation, as a result of sea level rise. These phenomena could have catastrophic impacts on coastal communities and result in the destruction of critical infrastructure, disruption of economic activities and salt water contamination of the water supply. The objective of the study presented in this paper was to identify various impacts of sea level rise on civil infrastructures in coastal areas and examine the adaptation measures suggested in the existing literature. To this end, a systemic review of the existing literature was conducted in order to identify a repository of studies addressing sea level rise impacts and adaptation measures in the context of infrastructure systems. The study focused on three infrastructure sectors: water and wastewater, energy, and road transportation. The collected information was then analyzed in order to identify different categories of sea level rise impacts and corresponding adaptation measures. The findings of the study are threefold: (1) the major categories of sea level rise impacts on different infrastructure systems; (2) measures for protection, accommodation, and retreat in response to sea level rise impacts; and (3) challenges related to implementing adaptation measures.

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“…Humans have changed coastal regions by introducing artificial constructions in 2580 BCE on the Red Sea shores in the Egypt (Tallet and Marouard 2014), and these structures affect geomorphology and coastal systems (Bulleri and Chapman 2010) in a negative way; however, this impact severity depends on the particular geographical area. Climate change induced elements such as sealevel rise, coastal flooding, erosion, and storm surge are the main reasons for coastal infrastructure damage as well as vulnerability (Dolan and Walker 2006;Phillips and Jones 2006;Bosello and De Cian 2014). Increased weather events also affect the socio-economic circumstances of coastal regions significantly .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Coastal infrastructure vulnerability: an integrated assessment model

Kantamaneni

2016

Nat Hazards

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The significance of coastal regions to the infrastructure and the need to protect such assets are crucial to the economy of countries. Therefore, there is a real need to enhance the understanding of coastal infrastructure susceptibility as well as to develop methodologies to estimate vulnerability. A review of the literature regarding coastal vulnerability reveals that the focus has been on geomorphological and physical parameters but not infrastructure and the associated fiscal factors. In order to address this knowledge gap, an innovative model is developed, i.e., the Coastal Infrastructure Vulnerability Index (CIVI). Then the model is applied to the case of the Aberystwyth coast demonstrating how the model estimates the vulnerability of the coastal infrastructure (comprising population, commercial and residential properties). Subsequently, the CIVI scores were used to rank coastal sections into five classes, ranging from extremely low to extremely high, based on the relative magnitude of the vulnerability. The rankings for each parameter were combined, and then an index value was calculated. Results revealed that Aberystwyth contains more than £40 billion of coastal infrastructure vulnerability and more than 10,000 inhabitants are at the high coastal risk posed by flooding, erosion, storm surges, and strong winds.

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Climate change, sea level rise, and coastal disasters. A review of modeling practices

Cited by 48 publications

References 61 publications

Economy-wide effects of coastal flooding due to sea level rise: a multi-model simultaneous treatment of mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts

Economy-wide effects of coastal flooding due to sea level rise: a multi-model simultaneous treatment of mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts

Resilience of Infrastructure Systems to Sea-Level Rise in Coastal Areas: Impacts, Adaptation Measures, and Implementation Challenges

Coastal infrastructure vulnerability: an integrated assessment model

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