Abstract:A mathematical model of geodynamic disasters assessment, specifically earthquakes, based on an analysis of geodynamic instability indirect indicators, namely, horizontal gradients of gravity anomalies in isostatic reduction, is presented in this paper. Special attention is paid to the probability mathematical model of assessment of seismic risks, the core of which is the representation of probable geodynamic states of geologic environment as a simplest event flow, followed by the construction of the Kolmogorov… Show more
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