“…Changes in marital status can be economically important because, as previous researchers have found, marital status has important implications for tax revenue (Alm, Sebastian Leguizamon, Leguizamon 2014;Isaac 2019), retirement finances (Zissimopoulos, Karney, and Rauer 2015), health and access to health care (Carpenter et al 2018;Friedberg, Guo, and Lin 2018), and children's well-being (Lyle 2006;Finlay and Neumark 2010). Previous quasi-experimental studies, however, find weak evidence, at best, that individuals respond to family structure incentives contained in the U.S. tax and welfare systems, but the most convincing studies find that there are generally small effects of the marriage tax penalty/subsidy on the probability of marrying, and little to no effect on the probability of divorcing.…”