Marie-France Bru and Bernard Bru on Dice Games and Contracts

Abstract

estrtF his note introdues wrieEprne nd fernrd fru9s forthE oming ook on the history of proilityD espeilly its hpter on die gmesD trnslted in this issue of ttistil ieneD nd its ommentry on the history of fir prie in the settlement of ontrtsF es the frus remind usD the trditions of ounting hnes in die gmes nd estimting fir prie me together in the orrespondene etween sl nd permt in ITSRF o solve the prolem of dividing the stkes in premturely hlted gmeD permt used omintoril priniples tht hd een used for enturies to nlyze die gmesD while sl used priniples tht hd een proposed in previous enturies y students of ommeril rithmetiF uey words nd phrsesX die gmesD emergene of proilityD he vetulD expettionF

Foreseeing the Past: Probability and Ancient Greek Decision-Making

“…The narrative that probability is an inherently modern product of Enlightnement mathematicians has recently been dismissed by statistician Glenn Shafer (2018) as mere legend. Schafer assigns responsibility to the work of Ian Hacking (1975 and for further popularizing the notion that these polymaths were responsible for combining, for the first time, the philosophical ideas of belief and frequency.…”