Abstract:This article responds to a recent 'controversy study' in Global Public Health by de Camargo et al. directed at three randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of male circumcision (MC) for HIV prevention. These trials were conducted in three countries in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and published in 2005 and 2007. The RCTs confirmed observational data that had accumulated over the preceding two decades showing that MC reduces by 60% the risk of HIV infection in heterosexual men. Based on the RCT results, MC was adopted … Show more
“…In the current article, Van Howe starts off by repeating speculative claims by himself and others disputing the proven benefits of MC in reducing the risk of HIV infection, while ignoring the critiques that have disproved such claims (Banerjee et al, 2011;Morris, 2012;Morris et al, 2012;Wamai, Morris, Bailey, Klausner, & Boedicker, 2015;Wamai et al, 2008;Wamai et al, 2012). For example, he repeats discredited claims that, 'multiple, complex and unidentified factors may influence how much HIV risk is attributed to circumcision status', going on to speculate, 'These may include differences in blood exposures (from health care and/or cosmetic and ritual practices), sexual practices, sexual mixing patterns, risk behaviour adjustment, the strain of HIV responsible for infection and cultural factors.'…”
A meta-analysis by Van Howe of 109 populations confirms the well-known association of male circumcision (MC) with reduced HIV prevalence. He then performed meta-regression adjusting for location, risk and MC prevalence. When one or two of these adjustments in combination were applied MC appeared protective, but when all three were introduced the association remained significant in high-risk populations, but not in general populations within Africa with a hypothetical MC prevalence of <25% or elsewhere with hypothetical MC prevalence of <75%. However, many MC prevalence values given differed from those reported in references cited (including all US studies). This and other problems invalidate his adjustments for MC prevalence, undermining most of his meta-regression results. Meta-regression is a highly sophisticated statistical tool and is prone to error if not applied correctly. The study contained a high risk of bias arising from confounding. We also question his use of crude, rather than adjusted, odds ratios and his inclusion of unpublished data, so precluding replication by others. Flawed statistics, opaque presentation of results and inclusion of previously repudiated arguments downplaying a role for MC in HIV prevention programmes should lead readers to be sceptical of the findings and conclusions of Van Howe's study.
“…In the current article, Van Howe starts off by repeating speculative claims by himself and others disputing the proven benefits of MC in reducing the risk of HIV infection, while ignoring the critiques that have disproved such claims (Banerjee et al, 2011;Morris, 2012;Morris et al, 2012;Wamai, Morris, Bailey, Klausner, & Boedicker, 2015;Wamai et al, 2008;Wamai et al, 2012). For example, he repeats discredited claims that, 'multiple, complex and unidentified factors may influence how much HIV risk is attributed to circumcision status', going on to speculate, 'These may include differences in blood exposures (from health care and/or cosmetic and ritual practices), sexual practices, sexual mixing patterns, risk behaviour adjustment, the strain of HIV responsible for infection and cultural factors.'…”
A meta-analysis by Van Howe of 109 populations confirms the well-known association of male circumcision (MC) with reduced HIV prevalence. He then performed meta-regression adjusting for location, risk and MC prevalence. When one or two of these adjustments in combination were applied MC appeared protective, but when all three were introduced the association remained significant in high-risk populations, but not in general populations within Africa with a hypothetical MC prevalence of <25% or elsewhere with hypothetical MC prevalence of <75%. However, many MC prevalence values given differed from those reported in references cited (including all US studies). This and other problems invalidate his adjustments for MC prevalence, undermining most of his meta-regression results. Meta-regression is a highly sophisticated statistical tool and is prone to error if not applied correctly. The study contained a high risk of bias arising from confounding. We also question his use of crude, rather than adjusted, odds ratios and his inclusion of unpublished data, so precluding replication by others. Flawed statistics, opaque presentation of results and inclusion of previously repudiated arguments downplaying a role for MC in HIV prevention programmes should lead readers to be sceptical of the findings and conclusions of Van Howe's study.
“…Our analysis of the scientific evidence has provided an affirmative answer to Q1 (Wamai, Morris, Bailey, Klausner, & Boedicker, 2015, 'Biomedical evidence of randomised controlled trials of MC for HIV prevention'). To answer Q2 requires assessment of behavioural, political, technical and systems elements by Eulerian deliberation of the interspersion of truth, knowledge and belief (Baron, 1969).…”
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confidence: 81%
“…Rather their conclusions are based on spurious assumptions, so are fallacious. In relation to Q2, while the contest presented by opponents seems to have as its basis sociological constructivism (Martin & Richards, 1995), here too we find that the scepticism does not stem from empirical evidence (Wamai et al, 2015, 'Behavioural and contextual considerations in adopting voluntary medical male circumcision (VMMC)' and 'Public health policy considerations in adopting VMMC').…”
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confidence: 93%
“…Propounding, however, that the biomedical intervention of MC should be more strongly promoted is, rather than being reductionist, consistent with good public health practice, because the best available evidence regarding all HIV interventions shows that MC is more effective on multiple grounds (Wamai et al, 2015).…”
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confidence: 95%
“…That would result in a society, 'too awful to contemplate', as Collins (2009, p. 30) argues. Adoption of MC involved democratic deliberation (Wamai et al, 2015, 'Behavioural and contextual considerations in adopting VMMC' and 'Public health policy considerations in adopting VMMC').…”
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