Low-carbon transformation of the regional electric power supply structure in China: A scenario analysis based on a bottom-up model with resource endowment constraints

Yao, Xilong; Lei, Haitao; Yang, Lili; Shao, Shuai; Ahmed, Dulal; Ismaail, Mohamed Gabir Ahmed

doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105315

Cited by 41 publications

(15 citation statements)

References 56 publications

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“…In recent years, because of increasing energy demands, global CO 2 emissions have increased dramatically and issues regarding carbon emissions have become a major concern for countries around the world (Martin and Saikawa, 2017; Veselov et al , 2021; Behera and Dash, 2017; Mostafaeipour et al , 2022). China has replaced the USA as the world’s largest emitter of CO 2 (Yang and Lin, 2016; Li and Qin, 2019; Yao et al , 2021), and the Chinese Government has introduced several low-carbon policies for achieving carbon reduction targets (Liu et al , 2022). According to the World Resources Institute and the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the electric sector is the largest carbon emitter in China, accounting for nearly 40% of the total.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Given the important role of electric energy in various aspects of industry, production and daily life, how to promote a low-carbon transition in the electric sector has become a key topic of research in many studies. Numerous scholars have highlighted the importance of energy technology innovation for promoting structural changes in China’s electricity (Yao et al , 2021). For example, Liu et al (2022) used a time-varying DID model to demonstrate that although China’s ability to reduce carbon emissions is constrained by energy sources such as coal, the level of innovation can change this phenomenon and effectively contribute to China’s carbon reduction.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The evolution of electric technology in the context of China’s low-carbon transformation: a patent analysis

Yang

2022

IJCCSM

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Purpose Owing to increased energy demands, China has become the world’s top CO2 emitter, with electricity generation accounting for the majority of emissions. Therefore, the Chinese Government aspires to achieve a low-carbon transformation of the electric industry by enhancing its green innovation capacity. However, little attention has been paid to the green development of electric technology. Thus, this paper aims to uncover the spatiotemporal evolution of electric technology in the context of China’s low-carbon transformation through patent analysis. Design/methodology/approach Using granted green invention patent data for China’s electric industry between 2000 and 2021, this paper conducted an exploratory, spatial autocorrelation and time-varying difference-in-differences (DID) analysis to reveal the landscape of electric technology. Findings Exploratory analysis shows that the average growth rate of electric technology is 8.1%, with spatial heterogeneity, as there is slower growth in the north and west and faster growth in the south and east. In addition, electric technology shows spatial clustering in local areas. Finally, the time-varying DID analysis provides positive evidence that low-carbon policies improve the green innovation capacity of electric technology. Research limitations/implications The different effects of the low-carbon pilot policy (LCPC) on R&D subjects and the LCPC’s effectiveness in enhancing the value of patented technology were not revealed. Originality/value This paper reveals the spatiotemporal evolutionary characteristics of electric technology in mainland China. The results can help the Chinese Government clarify how to carry out innovative development in the electric industry as part of the low-carbon transformation and provide a theoretical basis and research direction for newcomers in this field.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The evolution of electric technology in the context of China’s low-carbon transformation: a patent analysis

Yang

2022

IJCCSM

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“…According to CESY, the share of clean energy generation (including hydropower, nuclear power, wind power and solar power) increased from 16.66% in 2007 to 37.82% in 2017, while the share of thermal power generation decreased from 83.34 % to 62.18 %. However, thermal power generation is still the main source of CO 2 emissions in China [36], and China needs to reduce the proportion of thermal power generation to accelerate carbon neutrality. TCI i as a whole has a negative impact, which was actually related to the power generation technology and the fuel structure of generator units [37].…”

Section: Time Decomposition Analysis Based On the Production Sidementioning

confidence: 99%

Exploring Carbon Neutrality in Power Industry Based on Electric Carbon Productivity: a Multi-Dimensional Decomposition from the Perspective of Production and Consumption

Li¹,

Sun²,

Cheng³

et al. 2022

Pol. J. Environ. Stud.

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Achieving carbon-neutrality 2060 target is a solemn commitment made by China to the world. In the process of advancing carbon neutrality goals, power industry is an important starting point for addressing climate change. This study employs China's electric carbon productivity (ECP) to efficiently integrate economy and environment to explore carbon neutrality in power industry. Based on the electricity, economy, and population-related data of 30 provinces and municipalities in China from 2007 to 2017, the LMDI method is used to decompose ECP on the power production and consumption side, while considering regional and industrial dimensions. Furthermore, it is divided into six drivers respectively. The results show that: 1) From the production perspective, the regional ECP and reciprocal of standard coal consumption for power supply are the dominating drivers to improve China's ECP. 2) From the consumption perspective, the per capita GDP and reciprocal of provincial industrial electricity consumption intensity are primary drivers in the rise of ECP. 3) The regional decomposition indicates that electricity utilization efficiency and economic development mode are the main reasons why Xinjiang's ECP level is lower than that of Guangdong and Jiangsu. Finally, some conclusions that may be helpful to the government and enterprises are drawn.

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“…Scenario analysis is often used by scientists and international organizations to forecast the future development of various sectors of the economy and to solve problems of its sustainable development. For example, it has been used in publications concerning: the natural gas market [47][48][49][50], the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions [51][52][53][54][55], waste management [56][57][58], electricity [59], renewable energy [60][61][62], transport [63][64][65] and others [66][67][68].…”

Section: Swot and Scenario Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Turkmenistan’s Gas Sector Development Scenarios Based on Econometric and SWOT Analysis

2021

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Turkmenistan is currently one of the key suppliers in the global natural gas market, and it is important to examine its competitive position in the world. The aim of this article is to forecast the development strategy of its gas sector. To achieve this aim, the authors first examined: (1) Turkmenistan’s position in the global gas market and the structure of its oil and gas sector; (2) the share of gas in Turkmenistan’s exports. They then conducted an analysis of the causal relationship between FDI and GDP. The above research made it possible to conduct a comprehensive SWOT analysis. Based on the SWOT analysis, three sector development scenarios were developed: pessimistic, realistic, and optimistic. On their basis, the gas sector in Turkmenistan can build strategies for its development, considering the impact of market and non-market factors.

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Low-carbon transformation of the regional electric power supply structure in China: A scenario analysis based on a bottom-up model with resource endowment constraints

Cited by 41 publications

References 56 publications

The evolution of electric technology in the context of China’s low-carbon transformation: a patent analysis

The evolution of electric technology in the context of China’s low-carbon transformation: a patent analysis

Exploring Carbon Neutrality in Power Industry Based on Electric Carbon Productivity: a Multi-Dimensional Decomposition from the Perspective of Production and Consumption

Turkmenistan’s Gas Sector Development Scenarios Based on Econometric and SWOT Analysis

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