“…While spring preconditioning, specifically the timing of sea ice retreat and its extent, is a dominant physical force governing biological processes at all trophic levels (Saba et al, 2014), it is generally unclear how the winter and spring setup drives summer ecosystem shifts and how these shifts cascade from one trophic level to the next. A few studies have shown phenological shifts in phytoplankton (Schofield et al, 2017), zooplankton (Thibodeau, Steinberg, McBride, et al, 2020), and predators (Cimino et al, 2019), but in some instances, it is unclear whether these shifts are related to the timing of other biophysical processes. Further, past studies have used monthly or seasonal composites of variables to explain species phenological responses, which may not be ecologically relevant or sufficient to capture variability on sub‐monthly scales (Kim et al, 2016).…”