Local ecological knowledge and incremental adaptation to changing flood patterns in the Amazon delta

Vogt, Nathan; Pinedo-Vásquez, Miguel; Brondízio, Eduardo S.; Rabelo, Fernando Galvão; Fernandes, Kátia; Almeida, Oriana; Riveiro, Sergio; Deadman, Peter; Dou, Yue

doi:10.1007/s11625-015-0352-2

Cited by 49 publications

(34 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…Severe flood episodes are seasonal (Benatti 2011), characterized by a gradual rise of water that influences social life and organization in the urban ADE (Costa and Brondizio 2011;Vogt et al 2016). There is no significant loss of life because of this gradual rise in water level and only eight deaths due to flood episodes were reported between 1991 and 2012 in the urban ADE (CEPED UFSC 2012).…”

Section: Assessment Of Flood Risk Areas and Unplanned Settlementsmentioning

confidence: 99%

An assessment of urban vulnerability in the Amazon Delta and Estuary: a multi-criterion index of flood exposure, socio-economic conditions and infrastructure

et al. 2016

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The Amazon Delta and Estuary (ADE) is a region of continental and global ecological importance. Controversy, many of the basic infrastructure and services essential for quality of life and sustainable development of this delta are absent. Using a conceptual model to define socio-economic vulnerability in the urban ADE, a thorough assessment of indicators including sanitation services, housing conditions, household income, population, flood risk and unplanned settlements was conducted in 41 cities at the census sector scale (n = 2938). A multi criterion index was applied to classify urban vulnerability from three dimensions: flood exposure, socio-economic sensitivity and infrastructure. This is the first study to examine urban vulnerability within and between urban areas of the ADE. Results indicated that most of the urban sectors of the ADE are exposed to potential risks due to a combination of flood hazards, poverty and basic structural deficiencies such as insufficient drinking water or inadequate waste water collection, with several sectors being afflicted by similar problems. The assessment of vulnerability indicates that 60-90 % of the urban population live in conditions of moderate to high degree of vulnerability. The ADE cities presented a pattern where vulnerability increases from city center to their newly developed urban areas. Inadequate planning coupled with rapid urbanization has contributed to the development of unplanned settlements in almost half of the urban sectors of the ADE. Combined, these factors contribute to widespread socio-economic vulnerability along the urban spaces of the ADE, increasing exposure to health risks and more frequent seasonal and stochastic events such as storm surges and high flooding levels.

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Section: Assessment Of Flood Risk Areas and Unplanned Settlementsmentioning

confidence: 99%

An assessment of urban vulnerability in the Amazon Delta and Estuary: a multi-criterion index of flood exposure, socio-economic conditions and infrastructure

et al. 2016

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“…In 2015, there was a strong "El Niño" effect across the Amazon region [46], which contributed to reduced precipitation and increased temperatures. In the study region, the 2015 annual average temperature was 27.5 • C, 0.9 degrees warmer than the climatological norm based on 30 years of data [47].…”

Section: Regeneration Dynamics Of Mora Paraensismentioning

confidence: 99%

Natural Regeneration Dynamics of Mora paraensis (Ducke) Ducke in Estuarine Floodplain Forests of the Amazon River

Miranda

Guedes

Batista

et al. 2018

Forests

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Abstract:The aim of this study was to evaluate the natural regeneration dynamics of Mora paraensis in floodplain forests in three regions of the eastern Amazon, and specifically, to explore the relationship between the abundance of regenerating trees and canopy openness. Tree height and circumference of all individuals of height >50 cm and diameter at breast height (DBH) <5 cm were measured in 2012, 2013 and 2015. A matrix of transitions was created and the natural regeneration (RR), demographic and dynamic rates were calculated. Hemispherical photos were used to measure canopy openness. There was no difference in the density of regenerating trees between the three study regions (mean = 2.957 ind. ha −1 ). The abundance of regenerating trees was highest in 2013, when 5614 individuals were inventoried, and as such the RR 2012-2013 was positive in all three regions (mean = 7.9%). Between 2013 and 2015, the RR was negative and above 50% in all regions. Canopy openness had no significant effect on the abundance of regenerating trees. The abundance of regenerating trees of M. paraensis was high in estuarine floodplain forests of the Amazon River, but the regeneration dynamics varied between years with more favourable years alternating with periods of high mortality and negative regeneration.

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“…Although TK is predominantly utilized in traditional tribal communities (indigenous knowledge), it also exists in modern rural (farmers' knowledge) and urban societies (Nakashima and Roue 2002). TK often refers to practices in agriculture, concerning crop cultivation (Leclerc et al 2013;Barthel et al 2013), the pastoral practice of transhumance (Oteros-Rozas et al 2013), use of pesticides (Irwin 1995), fishing (Vogt et al 2016), soil type assessments (Wynne 1996), forest management (Parrotta et al 2016), and nontimber forest-product-related practices (Davidson-Hunt et al 2013).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Traditional knowledge can provide guidance for better-informed decision-making, overcoming weaknesses related to scientific knowledge (Irwin 1995;Molnar and Berkes 2018). In particular, participative processes involving TK are applied in policies related to fields including nature conservation (Ruiz-Mallén and Corbera 2013), climate change adaptation (Laidler 2006;Nyong et al 2007;Vogt et al 2016), risk management (Dekens 2007;Barua and Rahman 2018), and flood risk management (Kamarulzaman et al 2016). Third, the practical applications of TK can be extended due to its role in wider cultural conglomerates (Ingold 2010).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Temperature Forecast Accuracies of Polish Proverbs

Graczyk

Choryński

Pińskwar

et al. 2020

Weather, Climate, and Society

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Proverbs are a part of traditional knowledge that has been increasingly acknowledged to be a valuable source of information for environmental policies. Proverbs on weather convey the cumulated experience of generations that provide guidelines for agricultural practices, everyday decisions, and other situations. Besides the value the proverbs have in their cultural setting, they also serve as an indicator of objective meteorological patterns. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of the Polish temperature-related proverbs. From the collected corpus of more than 2000 Polish proverbs, 28 were related to temperature and provided concrete predictions and so were selected for further analysis. The proverbs were tested on the basis of temperature (minimum, maximum, and mean) data from 20 weather stations, located in Poland and the neighboring countries, for the period of 1951-2012. Harbingers and forecasts were identified and coded as 0 or 1. Proverb accuracies were then compared using Heidke skill scores and proportions of fulfilled proverbs. The proverbs' spatial and temporal contingencies were tested via generalized linear mixed models. Some proverbs provided a high proportion (up to 79%) of fulfilled proverbs. Furthermore, the accuracy of the proverbs was reversely proportional to chronological date (decreased with time), with values increasing toward the east and north directions of station locations. The observed changes in proverb accuracies may be attributed to the shift of Polish borders following the Second World War and the respective migration of the population.

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Local ecological knowledge and incremental adaptation to changing flood patterns in the Amazon delta

Cited by 49 publications

References 28 publications

An assessment of urban vulnerability in the Amazon Delta and Estuary: a multi-criterion index of flood exposure, socio-economic conditions and infrastructure

An assessment of urban vulnerability in the Amazon Delta and Estuary: a multi-criterion index of flood exposure, socio-economic conditions and infrastructure

Natural Regeneration Dynamics of Mora paraensis (Ducke) Ducke in Estuarine Floodplain Forests of the Amazon River

Temperature Forecast Accuracies of Polish Proverbs

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