Livelihoods, Wellbeing and the Risk to Life During Volcanic Eruptions

Barclay, Jenni; Few, Roger; Armijos, Maria Teresa; Phillips, Jeremy C.; Pyle, David M.; Hicks, Anna; Brown, Sarah K.; Robertson, R. E. A.

doi:10.3389/feart.2019.00205

Cited by 55 publications

(46 citation statements)

References 61 publications

(83 reference statements)

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“…poor shelter conditions) or "pull" (e.g. concern for livestock) factors [Barclay et al 2019]. These pressures, as they express a desire to act against further impoverishment, may interfere with an otherwise apparently more logical desire to protect life.…”

Section: Factors Affecting Evacuationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fireside tales: understanding experiences of previous eruptions and factors influencing the decision to evacuate from activity of Volcán de Fuego

Naismith¹,

Armijos

Escobar³

et al. 2020

Volcanica

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Volcán de Fuego (Guatemala) is an active stratovolcano capable of large (VEI~ě2) explosive eruptions like that of 3 rd June 2018, which triggered pyroclastic flows that devastated the community of San Miguel Los Lotes and caused hundreds of fatalities and severe long-term socioeconomic impacts. Future volcanic risk mitigation efforts are likely to involve temporary evacuation of local communities, the success of which requires cooperation between locals, scientists, and decision-makers. However, locals' experiences of eruptive activity, and how these experiences influence their responses to evacuation, have not been studied in detail. In 2019 we conducted an investigation of these themes through qualitative research methods involving semi-structured interviews that focussed on direct experience as opposed to volcanic risk perception. We found substantial differences between scientists' and locals' observations of Fuego's activity. Furthermore, a clear disparity emerged between communities on Fuego's west and east flanks in terms of direct prior experience of eruptions and communication with authorities. These findings have serious implications for future evacuation efforts at Fuego and at other highly populated active volcanoes. Resumen El Volcán de Fuego (Guatemala) es capaz de erupciones catastróficas como la del 3 de junio de 2018, cuando flujos piroclásticos destruyeron la comunidad de San Miguel Los Lotes y causaron numerosos muertos e impactos socioeconomicos severos en el largo plazo. Al futuro, la mitigación del riesgo volcánico implicará la evacuación de las comunidades locales, cuyo éxito requiere la cooperación entre autoridades y la población. Sin embargo, se sabe poco sobre cuales son las experiencias de actividad eruptiva de estos grupos, y cómo estas experiencias afectan sus respuestas a la evacuación. En 2019 realizamos una investigación de estos temas y encontramos diferencias significativas entre las observaciones científicas y de la población de la actividad de Fuego. Además, surgió una disparidad entre las comunidades en diferentes flancos del volcán en términos de la experiencia vivida de las erupciones anteriores y de la comunicación con autoridades. Estos resultados tienen implicaciones para los futuros esfuerzos de evacuación en Fuego y en volcanes análogos.

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Section: Factors Affecting Evacuationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fireside tales: understanding experiences of previous eruptions and factors influencing the decision to evacuate from activity of Volcán de Fuego

Naismith¹,

Armijos

Escobar³

et al. 2020

Volcanica

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…global fatalities; Brown et al, 2017) and there are some studies accounting for the indirect impacts of eruptions (loss of livelihood, displacement, and resettlement) at the volcano scale (e.g. Barclay et al, 2019). In time and with more resources and studies, such efforts may be scalable and used to inform future global risk studies.…”

Section: Vulnerabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Review article: Natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale

Ward

Blauhut

Bloemendaal

et al. 2020

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

183

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Abstract. Since 1990, natural hazards have led to over 1.6 million fatalities globally, and economic losses are estimated at an average of around USD 260–310 billion per year. The scientific and policy communities recognise the need to reduce these risks. As a result, the last decade has seen a rapid development of global models for assessing risk from natural hazards at the global scale. In this paper, we review the scientific literature on natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale, and we specifically examine whether and how they have examined future projections of hazard, exposure, and/or vulnerability. In doing so, we examine similarities and differences between the approaches taken across the different hazards, and we identify potential ways in which different hazard communities can learn from each other. For example, there are a number of global risk studies focusing on hydrological, climatological, and meteorological hazards that have included future projections and disaster risk reduction measures (in the case of floods), whereas fewer exist in the peer-reviewed literature for global studies related to geological hazards. On the other hand, studies of earthquake and tsunami risk are now using stochastic modelling approaches to allow for a fully probabilistic assessment of risk, which could benefit the modelling of risk from other hazards. Finally, we discuss opportunities for learning from methods and approaches being developed and applied to assess natural hazard risks at more continental or regional scales. Through this paper, we hope to encourage further dialogue on knowledge sharing between disciplines and communities working on different hazards and risk and at different spatial scales.

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“…global fatalities, Brown et al, 2017) and there are some studies accounting for the indirect impacts of eruptions (loss of livelihood, displacement and resettlement) at the volcano scale (e.g. Barclay et al, 2019). In time and with more resources and studies, such efforts may be scalable, and used to inform future global risk studies.…”

Section: Vulnerabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Review article: Natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale

Ward¹,

Blauhut²,

Bloemendaal³

et al. 2019

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract. Since 1990, natural hazards have led to over 1.6 million fatalities globally, and economic losses are estimated at an average of around $260–310 billion per year. The scientific and policy community recognise the need to reduce these risks. As a result, the last decade has seen a rapid development of global models for assessing risk from natural hazards at the global scale. In this paper, we review the scientific literature on natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale, and specifically examine whether and how they have examined future projections of hazard, exposure, and/or vulnerability. In doing so, we examine similarities and differences between the approaches taken across the different hazards, and identify potential ways in which different hazard communities can learn from each other. For example, we show that global risk studies focusing on hydrological, climatological, and meteorological hazards, have included future projections and disaster risk reduction measures (in the case of floods), whilst these are missing in global studies related to geological hazards. The methods used for projecting future exposure in the former could be applied to the geological studies. On the other hand, studies of earthquake and tsunami risk are now using stochastic modelling approaches to allow for a fully probabilistic assessment of risk, which could benefit the modelling of risk from other hazards. Finally, we discuss opportunities for learning from methods and approaches being developed and applied to assess natural hazard risks at more continental or regional scales. Through this paper, we hope to encourage dialogue on knowledge sharing between scientists and communities working on different hazards and at different spatial scales.

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Livelihoods, Wellbeing and the Risk to Life During Volcanic Eruptions

Cited by 55 publications

References 61 publications

Fireside tales: understanding experiences of previous eruptions and factors influencing the decision to evacuate from activity of Volcán de Fuego

Fireside tales: understanding experiences of previous eruptions and factors influencing the decision to evacuate from activity of Volcán de Fuego

Review article: Natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale

Review article: Natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale

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