Abstract:Abstract. Drought events and their impacts vary spatially and temporally due to diverse pedo-climatic and hydrologic conditions, as well as variations in exposure and vulnerability, such as demographics and response actions. While hazardous severity and frequency of past drought events have been studied in detail, little is known about the effect of drought management strategies on the actual impacts, and how the hazard is perceived by relevant stakeholders for inducing action. In a continental study, we chara… Show more
“…Therefore, Quiring (2009) recommends the development of objective methods for establishing operational drought definitions. However, creating a universally formalized definition of drought that applies to all municipalities and sectors in Sweden may be challenging (Lloyd-Hughes 2014), especially because different policies and authorities govern different sectors (Blauhut et al 2021). Instead, Lloyd-Hughes (2014) argues for local drought definitions that holistically consider water supply, demand, and management.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While 2018 experienced a classical rainfall-deficit drought that was further exacerbated by a heatwave with high evaporation rates during the summer months (Van Loon and Van Lanen 2012), the 2017 drought was rather a long-term consequence of low ground-and surface water levels that started to emerge already in 2016, and which did not recover in the winter of 2016/2017 due to unusually warm winter temperatures and less than normal winter precipitation (Stensen et al 2019). Such differences in drought typologies, spatial extent, and severity levels across different drought events are common as drought emergence strongly depends on large-scale weather patterns and regional differences in land-surface properties (Blauhut et al 2021;Kingston et al 2015).…”
<p>The future risk for droughts and water shortages calls for substantial efforts by authorities to adapt at local levels. Understanding their perception of drought hazards, risk and vulnerability can help to identify drivers of and barriers to drought risk planning and management in a changing climate at the local level. We present a novel interdisciplinary drought case study in a Nordic country that integrates soft data from a nation-wide survey among more than 100 local practitioners and hard data based on hydrological measurements to provide a holistic assessment of the links between drought severity and the perceived levels of drought severity, impacts, preparedness and management for two consecutive drought events. We highlight challenges for drought risk planning and management in a changing climate at the local level and elaborate on how improved understanding of local practitioners to plan for climate change adaptation can be achieved.</p>
“…Therefore, Quiring (2009) recommends the development of objective methods for establishing operational drought definitions. However, creating a universally formalized definition of drought that applies to all municipalities and sectors in Sweden may be challenging (Lloyd-Hughes 2014), especially because different policies and authorities govern different sectors (Blauhut et al 2021). Instead, Lloyd-Hughes (2014) argues for local drought definitions that holistically consider water supply, demand, and management.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While 2018 experienced a classical rainfall-deficit drought that was further exacerbated by a heatwave with high evaporation rates during the summer months (Van Loon and Van Lanen 2012), the 2017 drought was rather a long-term consequence of low ground-and surface water levels that started to emerge already in 2016, and which did not recover in the winter of 2016/2017 due to unusually warm winter temperatures and less than normal winter precipitation (Stensen et al 2019). Such differences in drought typologies, spatial extent, and severity levels across different drought events are common as drought emergence strongly depends on large-scale weather patterns and regional differences in land-surface properties (Blauhut et al 2021;Kingston et al 2015).…”
<p>The future risk for droughts and water shortages calls for substantial efforts by authorities to adapt at local levels. Understanding their perception of drought hazards, risk and vulnerability can help to identify drivers of and barriers to drought risk planning and management in a changing climate at the local level. We present a novel interdisciplinary drought case study in a Nordic country that integrates soft data from a nation-wide survey among more than 100 local practitioners and hard data based on hydrological measurements to provide a holistic assessment of the links between drought severity and the perceived levels of drought severity, impacts, preparedness and management for two consecutive drought events. We highlight challenges for drought risk planning and management in a changing climate at the local level and elaborate on how improved understanding of local practitioners to plan for climate change adaptation can be achieved.</p>
“…Therefore, Quiring ( 2009 ) recommends the development of objective methods for establishing operational drought definitions. However, creating a universally formalized definition of drought that applies to all municipalities and sectors in Sweden may be challenging (Lloyd-Hughes 2014 ), especially because different policies and authorities govern different sectors (Blauhut et al 2021 ). Instead, Lloyd-Hughes ( 2014 ) argues for local drought definitions that holistically consider water supply, demand, and management.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While 2018 experienced a classical rainfall-deficit drought that was further exacerbated by a heatwave with high evaporation rates during the summer months (Van Loon and Van Lanen 2012 ), the 2017 drought was rather a long-term consequence of low ground- and surface water levels that started to emerge already in 2016, and which did not recover in the winter of 2016/2017 due to unusually warm winter temperatures and less than normal winter precipitation (Stensen et al 2019 ). Such differences in drought typologies, spatial extent, and severity levels across different drought events are common as drought emergence strongly depends on large-scale weather patterns and regional differences in land-surface properties (Blauhut et al 2021 ; Kingston et al 2015 ).…”
The future risk for droughts and water shortages calls for substantial efforts by authorities to adapt at local levels. Understanding their perception of drought hazards, risk and vulnerability can help to identify drivers of and barriers to drought risk planning and management in a changing climate at the local level. This paper presents a novel interdisciplinary drought case study in Sweden that integrates soft data from a nationwide survey among more than 100 local practitioners and hard data based on hydrological measurements to provide a holistic assessment of the links between drought severity and the perceived levels of drought severity, impacts, preparedness, and management for two consecutive drought events. The paper highlights challenges for drought risk planning and management in a changing climate at the local level and elaborates on how improved understanding of local practitioners to plan for climate change adaptation can be achieved.
Despite the scientific progress in drought detection and forecasting, it remains challenging to accurately predict the corresponding impact of a drought event. This is due to the complex relationships between (multiple) drought indicators and adverse impacts across different places/hydroclimatic conditions, sectors, and spatiotemporal scales. In this study, we explored these relationships by analyzing the impacts of the severe 2018–2019 central European drought event in Germany. We first computed the standardized precipitation index (SPI), the standardized precipitation evaporation index (SPEI), the standardized soil moisture index (SSMI) and the standardized streamflow index (SSFI) over various accumulation periods, and then related these indicators to sectorial losses from the European drought impact report inventory (EDII) and media sources. To cope with the uncertainty associated with both drought indicators and impact data, we developed a fuzzy method to categorize them. Lastly, we applied the method at the region level (EU NUTS1) by correlating monthly time series. Our findings revealed strong and significant relationships between drought indicators and impacts over different accumulation periods, albeit in some cases region-specific and time-variant. Furthermore, our analysis established the interconnectedness between various sectors, which displayed systematically co-occurring impacts. As such, our work provides a new framework to explore drought indicators-impacts dependencies across space, time, sectors, and scales. In addition, it emphasizes the need to leverage available impact data to better forecast drought impacts.
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