2012
DOI: 10.1613/jair.3865
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Learning to Predict from Textual Data

Abstract: Given a current news event, we tackle the problem of generating plausible predictions of future events it might cause. We present a new methodology for modeling and predicting such future news events using machine learning and data mining techniques. Our Pundit algorithm generalizes examples of causality pairs to infer a causality predictor. To obtain precisely labeled causality examples, we mine 150 years of news articles and apply semantic natural language modeling techniques to headlines containing certain … Show more

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Cited by 28 publications
(27 citation statements)
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“…Mining and creation of future prediction rules. The work in [32], suggests exploiting causal reasoning for future prediction. However, temporal reasoning does not equal causal reasoning.…”
Section: Memory Network and Other Related Neural Networkmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Mining and creation of future prediction rules. The work in [32], suggests exploiting causal reasoning for future prediction. However, temporal reasoning does not equal causal reasoning.…”
Section: Memory Network and Other Related Neural Networkmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, the causal reason for "minister leaves hall" is, for example, that "the conference ended". Another difference of our approach to the method in [32] is that we exploit word embeddings for generalization rather than relying on the completeness of manually created ontologies.…”
Section: Memory Network and Other Related Neural Networkmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Even though there are related works on event identification in emotion cause detection, there is no formal definition of events In area of artificial intelligence (AI), researchers, such as Radinsky (Radinsky et al, 2012), gave a formal definition of an event as "action, actor, object, instrument, location and time". In our work, we need to give clear definition of event first.…”
Section: Event Tree Constructionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A recent follow-up work [34] extended the analysis to Web queries. Another approach modeled causality of events by using background data from the Linked Open Data cloud [32]. These works were the first to address the prediction of events at large scale.…”
Section: State Of the Artmentioning
confidence: 99%