Land Use in Australia: Past, Present and Future

Clancy, Tim; Bryan, Brett A.; Guru, Siddeswara Mayura

doi:10.22459/lua.02.2018

Cited by 6 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 45 publications

(65 reference statements)

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“…Most previous decision support systems for agricultural land use and water management have focused on farm-level implications [43], greenhouse gas emissions [2,4], climate change at the farm level [44,45] and landscape changes [17] such as Multi-Criteria Analysis Shell for Spatial Decision Support (MCAS-S) [9,19]. For the most part the cumulative impacts of individual farmers' decision are not taken into account.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The contemporary challenge is how to balance agricultural development and environmental conservation while sustaining both agricultural productivity and natural resources and maintaining social licence to operate. This is all the more critical given the importance of both the agricultural and forestry sector to the social and tourism values of the natural landscape and natural resource management in Australia [9]. Achieving this balance is especially important to the economy of Tasmania where the efficient production of prime agricultural products has to complement the natural landscapes that drives the tourism industry [10].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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An Integrated Economic, Environmental and Social Approach to Agricultural Land-Use Planning

Shahpari

Allison

Harrison

et al. 2021

Land

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Agricultural land-use change is a dynamic process that varies as a function of social, economic and environmental factors spanning from the local to the global scale. The cumulative regional impacts of these factors on land use adoption decisions by farmers are neither well accounted for nor reflected in agricultural land use planning. We present an innovative spatially explicit agent-based modelling approach (Crop GIS-ABM) that accounts for factors involved in farmer decision making on new irrigation adoption to enable land-use predictions and exploration. The model was designed using a participatory approach, capturing stakeholder insights in a conceptual model of farmer decisions. We demonstrate a case study of the factors influencing the uptake of new irrigation infrastructure and land use in Tasmania, Australia. The model demonstrates how irrigated land-use expansion promotes the diffusion of alternative crops in the region, as well as how coupled social, biophysical and environmental conditions play an important role in crop selection. Our study shows that agricultural land use reflected the evolution of multiple simultaneous interacting biophysical and socio-economic drivers, including soil and climate type, crop and commodity prices, and the accumulated effects of interactive decisions of farmers.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Integrated Economic, Environmental and Social Approach to Agricultural Land-Use Planning

Shahpari

Allison

Harrison

et al. 2021

Land

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Planning to ‘Hear the Farmer’s Voice’: an Agent-Based Modelling Approach to Agricultural Land Use Planning

Shahpari

Eversole

2023

Appl. Spatial Analysis

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Agricultural land use is influenced not only by multiple aspects of biophysical and socio-economic processes, but also the cumulative impacts of individual farmer decisions. Farmers’ activities and decisions at farm scale shape land use and water utilisation at regional scale, yet land use planning processes do not take into account farmers’ knowledge and decision-making processes as they respond to, and in turn shape, change. Farmers’ voices are missing in the planning system. In this paper, we address the complexity of agricultural land use planning and examine the possibility of agricultural land use planning from the bottom-up via simulation to integrate environmental, economic and human factors that influence land use change. We present an innovative approach to model the interactions between government policy, market signals, and farmers’ land use decisions, and how the accumulated effects of these individual decisions change agricultural land use patterns at regional scale, using spatial and temporal agent-based modeling. A multi-stage mixed method spatial agent-based modeling (ABM) approach, aligned with the Geodesign framework, can incorporate local knowledge and decision-making into models of regional land use change. To illustrate the new approach, we examine the impact of milk market price on changes in land use in Tasmania, Australia. This approach brings together local knowledge with scientific, planning, and policy knowledge to generate dynamic scenarios for informed agricultural land-use planning decisions.

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Landscape functional connectivity for butterflies under different scenarios of land-use, land-cover, and climate change in Australia

Diengdoh

Ondei

Amin

et al. 2022

Preprint

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Pollinating invertebrates are vital to terrestrial ecosystems but are impacted by anthropogenic habitat loss/fragmentation and climate change. Conserving and improving landscape connectivity is important to offset those threats, yet its assessment for invertebrates is lacking. In this study, we evaluated the functional connectivity between protected areas in Australia for 59 butterfly species, under present conditions and different future scenarios (for 2050 and 2090) of land-use, land-cover, and climate change. Using circuit-theory analysis, we found that functional connectivity under present conditions varies widely between species, even when their estimated geographical ranges are similar. Under future scenarios, functional connectivity is predicted to decrease overall, with negative changes worsening from 2050 to 2090, although a few species are positive exceptions. We have made our results available as spatial datasets to allow comparisons with taxa from other studies and can be used to identify priority areas for conservation in terms of establishing ecological corridors or stepping-stone habitat patches. Our study highlights the importance of considering pollinating invertebrates when seeking holistic conservation and restoration of a landscapes functional connectivity, underscoring the need to expand and promote protected areas to facilitate functional connectivity under future scenarios of global change.

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Land Use in Australia: Past, Present and Future

Cited by 6 publications

References 45 publications

An Integrated Economic, Environmental and Social Approach to Agricultural Land-Use Planning

An Integrated Economic, Environmental and Social Approach to Agricultural Land-Use Planning

Planning to ‘Hear the Farmer’s Voice’: an Agent-Based Modelling Approach to Agricultural Land Use Planning

Landscape functional connectivity for butterflies under different scenarios of land-use, land-cover, and climate change in Australia

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