Kinematics of an Ebb Plume Front in a Tidal Crossflow

Abstract

X‐band marine radar observations and a hindcast simulation from a 3D hydrostatic model are used to provide an overview of Connecticut River (USA) ebb plume front expansion into the strong tidal crossflow of eastern Long Island Sound. The model performance is evaluated against in situ and remote sensing observations and demonstrates dominant control of the front by semidiurnal tides. The recurring frontal evolution is classified into three dynamical stages of arrest, propagation, and advection. A conceptual model that follows this progressing balance between outflow buoyancy and crossflow momentum qualitatively reproduces frontal evolution in both the radar observations and the hindcast. The majority of the residual, intertidal variability of front timing and geometry is explained by co‐varying tidal amplitude, freshwater discharge, and wind stress using a multi‐linear regression analysis of the radar observation record. Intrinsic front speeds in the modeled frontal propagation are compared with the analytical model of Benjamin (1968, https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022112068000133), with better agreement achieved after accounting for ambient near‐surface shear associated with wind forcing.