“…The baseline questionnaire included measures of dispositional optimism (six items from the Life Orientation Test‐Revised [LOT‐R], minus the filler items, Scheier et al, ; 1 = strongly disagree , 5 = strongly agree ; M = 3.59, SD = .60, Cronbach's α = .77) and defensive pessimism (12 items adapted to generalize beyond academic settings; see Norem, , for original items; 1 = not true at all of me , 7 = very true of me ; M = 4.80, SD = .83, α = .77), and the final two questionnaires included the measure of outcome predictions (“Please estimate the probability that you will pass the bar exam, between 0% and 100%”; M s = 65.36 and 63.14, SD s = 21.31 and 22.70, respectively). Additional methodological details are available in Sweeny et al (), Sweeny and Falkenstein (), and Howell and Sweeny ().…”