Interpreting foresight process impacts: Steps towards the development of a framework conceptualising the dynamics of ‘foresight systems’

Amanatidou, Effie; Guy, Ken

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2008.02.003

Cited by 62 publications

(37 citation statements)

References 7 publications

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“…Thus, the impact of the 'futuring' process and results has been described as the main criterion for external validity of such activities. From a practical and impactoriented perspective [1], the more impact a 'futuring' process has achieved in the socio-technological-economic-political environment the more successful it has been. Effective 'futuring' activities substantially contribute to strategic decision-making and constituency building at multiple levels -from macro-level governance of innovation ecosystems, to meso-level value chains and networks, to micro-level innovation actors.…”

Section: Conclusion and Implications For Manufuture Vision 2030 Genementioning

confidence: 99%

Futuring European industry: assessing the ManuFuture road towards EU re-industrialization

Sautter

2016

Eur J Futures Res

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Industry is the backbone of the European economy-producing 80% of Europe's exports, accounting for 80% of private Research, Technology Development and Innovation (RTDI) expenditures, and providing more than 30 million jobs with additional 70 million in related sectors. Thus, the manufacturing sector plays a vital role in fostering economic growth and social welfare across Europe, and it has the potential to provide innovative solutions for the grand societal challenges. However, European Industry's share of added value has substantially decreased during the last decades. Against this backdrop, the European ManuFuture platform was created in 2003 to provide visions, scenarios as well as RTDI strategies and roadmaps for the re-industrialization of Europe. This article recapitulates the successful Vision 2020 generation and implementation process of the ManuFuture community. Based on a systemic assessment of the multi-actor, multi-governance-level and multi-sector policy approach, success factors are elaborated as guiding principles and framework for the upcoming Vision 2030 process. With reference to currently discussed issues in the European Research and Innovation area such as digitising industry and circular economy, this article concludes with some options to pursue the BManuFuture Road^.

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Section: Conclusion and Implications For Manufuture Vision 2030 Genementioning

confidence: 99%

Futuring European industry: assessing the ManuFuture road towards EU re-industrialization

Sautter

2016

Eur J Futures Res

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“…to nonfragmented, interested, and competent organizations and networks; inclusive, transparent and effective processes; quality of inputs and outputs; and clear objectives. (Amanatidou and Guy, 2008) …”

Section: Results and Policy Impact/implicationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adaptive foresight in the creative content industries: anticipating value chain transformations and need for policy action

2010

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PREFACEFuture-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) provides a common umbrella for the foresight, forecasting and technology assessment communities. These closely related communities play an important role in guiding policy and decision making to anticipate and shape future developments. The "International Seville FTA Conference" is a unique occasion for them to meet and to mutually enrich their approaches.Building on the success of the 2004 and 2006 events, the third edition of the Conference will enable FTA experts, practitioners, and policy and decision makers to share their ideas and knowledge in order to make FTA more policy relevant. This focus on policy impact of FTA is reinforced in the third edition of the Conference as clearly indicated by its title: "Impacts and implications of FTA for policy and decision making."The rising importance of FTA and of the Seville FTA Conference is reflected in the interest for this third edition. 180 participants from all continents are expected to attend the Conference. Out of the 166 abstracts that were submitted (50 more than in 2006), the Conference Scientific Committee selected 56 papers in order to build a comprehensive Conference programme. In addition 27 posters will be presented. The Conference programme covers both FTA methodological aspects and application of FTA to policy fields, such as, research and innovation, security and sustainability. IPTS will publish the proceedings of the Conference and the best papers will be published in special issues of high level academic journals, as was the case for the previous editions of the Conference. The Conference is organised by the European Foresight Action of the Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS), an institute of the European Commission's JointResearch Centre (JRC). IPTS is known as a European reference centre on foresight, and its European Foresight Action is established as a major contributor to the structuring and enhancement of European foresight capabilities. The foresight support tools it has developed, such as the On-Line Foresight Guide, are widely recognised and used across Europe. European Foresight is part of the "Knowledge for Growth" unit of JRC-IPTS that focuses on EU research policy and its interfaces with certain related policies, in particular innovation, tertiary education and regional development.In line with its main mission, IPTS intends to apply the outcomes of the Conference to its policy support activities and translate them whenever possible into options for policy and decision making. FTA techniques are well suited to support research and innovation policies and, in particular, for application in the context of research coordination instruments aimed at developing the European Research Area. The European Foresight Action currently contributes with its foresight expertise to several FP7 multi-partner projects where it supports, for example, identification of future RTD priorities and of areas for future international collaboration in research.The final outcomes of the 2008 ...

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“…1 The article [31] was used as the anchor paper for discussions in six methodology sessions of the international futures research conference called BFutures Studies Tackling Wicked Problems^in Turku. As the earlier article, the new article describes the Futures Map frame and the quality criteria of the futures research defined in this frame.…”

Section: Background and Main Aims Of The Articlementioning

confidence: 99%

“…There is, however, no common understanding of these studies' quality-not even of the criteria according to which the quality of foresight can be assessed or evaluated. The exception is the evaluation literature which mainly covers criteria of performance [1,8,16].…”

Section: Background and Main Aims Of The Articlementioning

confidence: 99%

The futures Map and its quality criteria

2015

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The article discusses quality criteria for futures research in the frame of so-called 'Futures Map'. This article is the edited and developed version of the article (Futura 1: 60-77, 2015). Based on the comments concerning (Futura 1: 60-77, 2015), we have developed the Futures Map frame and its validity criteria further. The new edition of the article is more focused on two basic questions. What is the relationship between the Futures Map approach and various scenario approaches? What are the common and different features of the quality criteria suggested in the Futures Map frame and other suggested quality criteria? The comparison is especially focused on the quality criteria defined by the German Netzwerk Zukunftsforschung. We suggest that it is reasonable to handle quality criteria on three basic levels: the philosophical basis; pragmatic general quality criteria; and special quality criteria suitable for specific contexts/uses. The prospects of futures research as a field of science depend first of all on their research methods. The article briefly discusses the choice of research methods as well as the evaluation of particular applications of methods in practical research projects.

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Interpreting foresight process impacts: Steps towards the development of a framework conceptualising the dynamics of ‘foresight systems’

Cited by 62 publications

References 7 publications

Futuring European industry: assessing the ManuFuture road towards EU re-industrialization

Futuring European industry: assessing the ManuFuture road towards EU re-industrialization

Adaptive foresight in the creative content industries: anticipating value chain transformations and need for policy action

The futures Map and its quality criteria

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