Purpose-Accurate target definition is considered essential for sophisticated, image-guided radiation therapy; however, relatively little information has been reported that measures our ability to identify the precise shape of targets accurately. We decided to assess the manner in which eight "experts" interpreted the size and shape of tumors based on "real life" contrast-enhanced CT scans.Methods and Materials-Four neuroradiologists and four radiation oncologists (the authors) with considerable experience and presumed expertise in treating head and neck tumors independently contoured, slice-by-slice, his/her interpretation of the precise gross tumor volume (GTV) on each of twenty sets of CT scans taken from twenty patients who previously were enrolled in Radiation Therapy Oncology Group protocol 9111.Results-The average proportion of overlap (i.e., the degree of agreement) was 0.532 (95% confidence interval 0.457 to 0.606). There was a slight tendency for the proportion of overlap to increase with increasing average GTV.This work represents a group effort of the American College of Radiology Imaging Network (ACRIN) and was supported by the National Cancer Institute through the grants U01 CA079778 and U01 CA080098.Publisher's Disclaimer: This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final citable form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. Conclusions-Our work suggests that estimation of tumor shape currently is imprecise, even for experienced physicians. In consequence, there appears to be a practical limit to the current trend of smaller fields and tighter margins.
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