Innovative and successive average trend analysis of temperature and precipitation in Osijek, Croatia

Mehr, Ali Danandeh; Hrnjica, Bahrudin; Bonacci, Ognjen; Haghighi, Ali Torabi

doi:10.1007/s00704-021-03672-3

Cited by 17 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 27 publications

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“…This approach may have caused a certain decrease in obtained R factors for Croatia and Hungary. Generally speaking, Mehr et al [87] highlighted that observed trends for Osijek meteorological station (eastern part of Croatia) could pose a danger to regional agricultural production, and thus should be addressed with special attention when analysing the emergence of new climate extremes over the territory of the Pannonian Basin. Pásztor et al [88] used the Pan-European Soil Erosion Risk Assessment (PESERA) model to perform rill and inter-rill erosion estimates at the regional level due to the lack of available in situ soil erosion datasets in Hungary.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Detailed Analysis of Spatial–Temporal Variability of Rainfall Erosivity and Erosivity Density in the Central and Southern Pannonian Basin

et al. 2021

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Estimation of rainfall erosivity (RE) and erosivity density (ED) is essential for understanding the complex relationships between hydrological and soil erosion processes. The main objective of this study is to assess the spatial–temporal trends and variability of the RE and ED in the central and southern Pannonian Basin by using station observations and gridded datasets. To assess RE and ED, precipitation data for 14 meteorological stations, 225 grid points. and an erosion model consisting of daily, monthly, seasonal, and annual rainfall for the period of 1961–2014 were used. Annual RE and ED based on station data match spatially variable patterns of precipitation, with higher values in the southwest (2100 MJ·mm·ha−1·h−1) and southeast (1650 MJ·mm·ha−1·h−1) of the study area, but minimal values in the northern part (700 MJ·mm·ha−1·h−1). On the other hand, gridded datasets display more detailed RE and ED spatial–temporal variability, with the values ranging from 250 to 2800 MJ·mm·ha−1·h−1. The identified trends are showing increasing values of RE (ranging between 0.20 and 21.17 MJ·mm·ha−1·h−1) and ED (ranging between 0.01 and 0.03 MJ·ha−1·h−1) at the annual level. This tendency is also observed for autumn RE (from 5.55 to 0.37 MJ·mm·ha−1·h−1) and ED (from 0.05 to 0.01 MJ·ha−1·h−1), as for spring RE (from 1.00 to 0.01 MJ·mm·ha−1·h−1) and ED (from 0.04 to 0.01 MJ·ha−1·h−1), due to the influence of the large-scale processes of climate variability, with North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) being the most prominent. These increases may cause a transition to a higher erosive class in the future, thus raising concerns about this type of hydro-meteorological hazard in this part of the Pannonian Basin. The present analysis identifies seasons and places of greatest erosion risk, which is the starting point for implementing suitable mitigation measures at local to regional scales.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Detailed Analysis of Spatial–Temporal Variability of Rainfall Erosivity and Erosivity Density in the Central and Southern Pannonian Basin

et al. 2021

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“…Adu-Prah and Tetteh [16] have assessed relevant information on the role of temperature, rainfall, and humidity on malaria prevalence at different geographic scales for a better understanding of climate variability, and they examined the varying spatial and seasonal distributions in malaria prevalence over time in Ghana. There are similar studies that have investigated spatiotemporal climate variability and its impact on the hydrological cycle and quantity and quality of water resources [17][18][19][20].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Hydroclimatic Trends and Drought Risk Assessment in the Ceyhan River Basin: Insights from SPI and STI Indices

et al. 2023

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This study examined the spatiotemporal climate variability over the Ceyhan River basin in Southern Anatolia, Türkiye using historical rainfall and temperature observations recorded at 15 meteorology stations. Various statistical and geostatistical techniques were employed to determine the significance of trends for each climatic variable in the whole basin and its three sub-regions (northern, central, and southern regions). The results revealed that the recent years in the basin were generally warmer compared with previous years, with a temperature increase of approximately 4 °C. The standardized temperature index analysis indicated a shift towards hotter periods after 2005, while the coldest periods were observed in the early 1990s. The spatial distribution of temperature showed non-uniform patterns throughout the basin. The first decade of the study period (1975–1984) was characterized by relatively cold temperatures, followed by a transition period from cold to hot between 1985 and 2004, and a hotter period in the last decade (2005–2014). The rainfall analysis indicated a decreasing trend in annual rainfall, particularly in the northern and central regions of the basin. However, the southern region showed an increasing trend in annual rainfall during the study period. The spatial distribution of rainfall exhibited considerable variability across the basin, with different regions experiencing distinct patterns. The standardized precipitation index analysis revealed the occurrence of multiple drought events throughout the study period. The most severe and prolonged droughts were observed in the years 1992–1996 and 2007–2010. These drought events had significant impacts on water availability and agricultural productivity in the basin.

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Spatiotemporal Variations in Meteorological Drought Across the Mediterranean Region of Turkey

Pekpostalci

Tür

Mehr

2023

Pure Appl. Geophys.

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Innovative and successive average trend analysis of temperature and precipitation in Osijek, Croatia

Cited by 17 publications

References 27 publications

Detailed Analysis of Spatial–Temporal Variability of Rainfall Erosivity and Erosivity Density in the Central and Southern Pannonian Basin

Detailed Analysis of Spatial–Temporal Variability of Rainfall Erosivity and Erosivity Density in the Central and Southern Pannonian Basin

Hydroclimatic Trends and Drought Risk Assessment in the Ceyhan River Basin: Insights from SPI and STI Indices

Spatiotemporal Variations in Meteorological Drought Across the Mediterranean Region of Turkey

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