2015
DOI: 10.1257/aer.20110683
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Inequality, Leverage, and Crises

Abstract: International audienceThe paper studies how high household leverage and crises can be caused by changes in the income distribution. Empirically, the periods 1920-1929 and 1983-2008 both exhibited a large increase in the income share of high-income households, a large increase in debt leverage of low- and middle-income households, and an eventual financial and real crisis. The paper presents a theoretical model where higher leverage and crises are the endogenous result of a growing income share of high-income h… Show more

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Cited by 499 publications
(412 citation statements)
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References 25 publications
(29 reference statements)
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“…This reverse causality could occur if low earning households borrowed more to avoid too large consumption disparities when income inequality is high. This is conjectured by Rajan (2010), Kumhof et al (2015) and van Treeck (2014) consistent with studies using US time series (Pollin, 1988;Christen and Morgan, 2005;Boushey and Weller, 2008). On the other hand, Atkinson and Morelli (2011) and Bordo and Meissner (2012) found no support for this hypothesis after analysing the international experience using case studies and macro-level data.…”
Section: Economic Literaturementioning
confidence: 74%
“…This reverse causality could occur if low earning households borrowed more to avoid too large consumption disparities when income inequality is high. This is conjectured by Rajan (2010), Kumhof et al (2015) and van Treeck (2014) consistent with studies using US time series (Pollin, 1988;Christen and Morgan, 2005;Boushey and Weller, 2008). On the other hand, Atkinson and Morelli (2011) and Bordo and Meissner (2012) found no support for this hypothesis after analysing the international experience using case studies and macro-level data.…”
Section: Economic Literaturementioning
confidence: 74%
“…That financial reforms (FRs) and income distribution interact is straightforward to motivate (e.g., Kumhof and Ranciere (2015); Agnello et al (2012); Claessens and Perotti (2007)). For instance if inequality reflects unequal access to funds by those with poor credit histories or limited collateral, then better functioning, more accessible financial markets might reduce income dispersion.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They find that the model can account for Fisher debt deflations, liquidity traps, and support expansionary fiscal policies, as multipliers can be higher than one. Kumhof et al (2015) study the link between rising inequality, household leverage and financial crises employing a DSGE model where top earner households (5% of the income distribution) lend to the bottom ones (95% of the income distribution). They show that an exogenous inequality shock induces low-income households to increase their indebtedness, raising their rational willingness to default and, in turn, the probability of a financial crisis.…”
Section: Recent Developments In Dsge Modeling: Patches or Newmentioning
confidence: 99%