2011
DOI: 10.1111/j.1440-1770.2011.00462.x
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Indications of the effects of climate change on the pelagic fishery of Lake Kariba, Zambia–Zimbabwe

Abstract: The pelagic fishery of Lake Kariba comprises the introduced clupeid, Limnothrissa miodon, from Lake Tanganyika. The annual fishery catches grew logistically from 1974, when commercial fishing began. It peaked at 37 000 tonnes (estimated mean sustainable yield = 40 000 tonnes) around 1990 and declined steadily thereafter. A piecewise regression of Limnothrissa catches against time gives a breakpoint around 1987-1988. Regressions of Limnothrissa against air temperature and lake temperature gave breakpoints of 34… Show more

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Cited by 27 publications
(40 citation statements)
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“…Analyses of climatic data for the middle Zambezi Valley indicate that warming around Lake Kariba is proceeding at a faster rate than predicted with regional models (Magadza 2010, 2011; Ndebele‐Murisa et al. 2011a,b).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 85%
“…Analyses of climatic data for the middle Zambezi Valley indicate that warming around Lake Kariba is proceeding at a faster rate than predicted with regional models (Magadza 2010, 2011; Ndebele‐Murisa et al. 2011a,b).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 85%
“…Actually, such a rise in fish biomass is within the range of natural stock fluctuations for this small pelagic fish (Marshall, 1993), and given the estimation errors, it should not be interpreted as a long-term trend. More frequent surveys, complementary with estimates of fisheries catches, should be performed to better understand the natural and human-caused fluctuations, as recently illustrated in Lake Kariba (Magadza, 2011).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Mahere et al [76] also assert that between 1986 and 2011, the mean temperature of the lake rose by 0.7 • C, at a rate of 0.03 • C per year. Increases in ambient temperatures around the lake are known to translate into increases in lake water temperatures that have been shown to impact negatively on fish productivity, increasing the evaporation rates, lowering lake water levels, and also decreasing the amount of nutrients that are entering into the lake [31]. These observed and projected changes may affect fish productivity, resulting in low fish catches, lower incomes from fishing, and reduced availability of fish for diet as the sensitivity assessment shows SSF' high dependence on fish for diet.…”
Section: Linking Sensitivity With Exposure and Adaptive Capacitymentioning
confidence: 99%