Improvisation as “real time foresight”

Cunha, Miguel Piña e; Clegg, Stewart; Kamoche, Ken

doi:10.1016/j.futures.2011.10.009

Cited by 49 publications

(38 citation statements)

References 50 publications

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“…In novelty rich environments strategic improvisation is the only way to actually engage the capacities of the organization with the potential of the emergent present. The dynamic capabilities of the firm are experiential and iterative processes -relying on improvisation as 'real time foresight' (e Cunha et al, 2012).…”

Section: Scenarios: the Role Of Theorymentioning

confidence: 99%

Learning to use the future: developing foresight capabilities through scenario processes

Rhisiart

Miller

Brooks

2015

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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Section: Scenarios: the Role Of Theorymentioning

confidence: 99%

Learning to use the future: developing foresight capabilities through scenario processes

Rhisiart

Miller

Brooks

2015

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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“…For instance, Trotter et al (2014) have analyzed the application of Rasmussen's (1997) Risk Management Framework and Accimap methodology for identifying the influencing factors of improvisation in critical safety situations [16]. Moreover, some researchers have studied the appropriateness of improvisation for competing with other organizations through better responding to unexpected market conditions [17].…”

Section: Improvisation In Organizationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of improvisation in construction through agent-based modelling

Alhussein¹,

Hamzeh²,

Yassin³

2018

Creative Construction Conference 2018 - Proceedings

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Improvisation is rational and decisive, deterministic and emergent, but impulsive and fuzzy. While the results of improvisation are perfectly understandable after the fact, the decision process is spontaneous in its making. Improvisational practices continue to exist within numerous construction operations where unforeseen uncertainty cannot be fully avoided. Therefore, a construction project will greatly benefit from applying an adaptive planning system that employs improvisation and hence reacts rapidly and wisely in case of unplanned or newly emerging problems. This study aims at developing a simulation model that depicts the improvisation process at the level of planners associated with different construction trades and identify different influencing factors. First, after attaining a thorough understanding of the process based on previous research studies, agent-based modelling is used to model the improvisation process that occurs at the level of each agent (planner), as well as the interaction processes that arise between the agents and the environment (construction project), and among the agents themselves. The simulation model takes into consideration several types of parameters that highly influence how each planner improvises. These parameters are planner-related, projectrelated, as well as problem-related. The contribution of this study lies in developing a better understanding of the improvisation mechanism within construction as well as identifying the impact of various types of influencing factors on the overall improvisation performance. Future research is recommended to better enhance the practices of improvisation for different construction projects.

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“…In the paper [26] the authors suggest a tool for weak signal filtration in the strategic process the application of which contributes to pro-active decision-making. The article [27] looks at the use of improvisation in strategic studies. By combining improvisation with planning and implementation an organization gets paradoxical forms of "real time foresight" which enables it to timely detect and use emerging opportunities.…”

Section: Weak Signals As Object Of Analysis Of Energymentioning

confidence: 99%

Proactive management in the power industry: Tool support

Gitelman¹,

Gavrilova²,

Gitelman³

et al. 2017

Int. J. SDP

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Increasingly dynamic, non-linear and all too often chaotic changes in the global environment and tougher competition, including at the geopolitical level, call for radical transformations in strategic management of the power industry. The article provides the results of a study into proactive actions of energy company management, which are becoming increasingly important. The article offers a framework of concepts relating to proactive management and sums up ideas of a number of authors on diagnostics of weak signals as possible harbingers of threats to sustainable power industry development. The authors have determined a general approach to mechanisms of threat identification and developed methodological principles of shaping a corporate management model capable of reacting to new challenges. The article provides a thorough study of some components of the model and an assessment of factors that ensure successful implementation of the authors' conceptual solutions in energy companies.

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Improvisation as “real time foresight”

Cited by 49 publications

References 50 publications

Learning to use the future: developing foresight capabilities through scenario processes

Learning to use the future: developing foresight capabilities through scenario processes

Analysis of improvisation in construction through agent-based modelling

Proactive management in the power industry: Tool support

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