Improving reintroduction planning and implementation through quantitative SWOT analysis

White, Thomas H.; Barros, Yara; Develey, Pedro F.; Llerandi-Román, Iván; Monsegur-Rivera, Omar A.; Trujillo-Pinto, Ana M.

doi:10.1016/j.jnc.2015.10.002

Cited by 29 publications

(24 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…To mitigate the risk of poor release site selection, the updated Guidelines for Reintroductions and Other Conservation Translocations (IUCN 2013) recommend that “the climate requirements of the focal species should be understood and matched to current and/or future climate at the destination site.” Species distribution models (SDMs) represent the most widely advocated approach for dealing with the challenge of selecting climatically suitable release sites (Osborne & Seddon 2012; IUCN 2013) (but see White et al. 2015). An SDM identifies statistical relationships between species occurrence and environmental descriptors.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate suitability as a predictor of conservation translocation failure

Bellis

Bourke

Maschinski

et al. 2020

Conservation Biology

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The continuing decline and loss of biodiversity has caused an increase in the use of interventionist conservation tools, such as translocation. However, many translocation attempts fail to establish viable populations, with poor release site selection often flagged as an inhibitor of success. We used species distribution models (SDMs) to predict the climate suitability of 102 release sites for amphibians, reptiles, and terrestrial insects and compared suitability predictions between successful and failed attempts. We then quantified the importance of climate suitability relative to 5 other variables frequently considered in the literature as important determinants of translocation success: number of release years, number of individuals released, life stage released, origin of the source population, and position of the release site relative to the species' range. Probability of translocation success increased as predicted climate suitability increased and this effect was the strongest among the variables we considered, accounting for 48.3% of the variation in translocation outcome. These findings should encourage greater consideration of climate suitability when selecting release sites for conservation translocations and we advocate the use of SDMs as an effective way to do this.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate suitability as a predictor of conservation translocation failure

Bellis

Bourke

Maschinski

et al. 2020

Conservation Biology

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“…In conservation science, suitability refers to the quantity and quality of a species' potential biophysical habitat in a reintroduction site [7], as well as key contextual factors such as cultures, laws, and institutions [8]. Conservationists use several methods-including fieldwork, modeling, and soliciting expert opinion-to assess site suitability [9] and reduce uncertainties [10,11] in reintroduction planning. In cases where reintroducing a species would involve placing it in an altered ecosystem, however, these established methods may leave many questions unanswered.…”

Section: Why Analogies?mentioning

confidence: 99%

Analogies for a No-Analog World: Tackling Uncertainties in Reintroduction Planning

Forbes

Alagona

Adams

et al. 2020

Trends in Ecology & Evolution

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Species reintroductions involve considerable uncertainty, especially in highly altered landscapes. Developing robust historical, geographic, and taxonomic analogies can help reduce this uncertainty, and integrating these analogies can enable conservationists to better assess the suitability of reintroduction sites. We illustrate this approach using the example of the California grizzly, an iconic species proposed for reintroduction despite significant knowledge gaps.

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“…Therefore, in this study, we used species distribution modeling (SDM) to determine current and future climatic habitats suitable for the pancake tortoise. We chose this method because SDM is the most widely accepted method of predicting climatically suitable habitats [20], which helps to avoid uncertainties in selecting areas for translocation while providing a higher chance of success [19–21].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Protected areas network is not adequate to protect a critically endangered East Africa Chelonian: Modelling distribution of pancake tortoise, Malacochersus tornieri under current and future climates

Eustace¹,

Esser

Mremi

et al. 2020

Preprint

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While the international pet trade and habitat destruction have been extensively discussed as major threats to the survival of the pancake tortoise (Malacochersus tornieri), the impact of climate change on the species remains unknown. In this study, we used species distribution modelling to predict the current and future distribution of pancake tortoises in Zambezian and Somalian biogeographical regions. We used 224 pancake tortoise occurrences obtained from Tanzania, Kenya and Zambia to estimate suitable and stable areas for the pancake tortoise in all countries present in these regions. We also used a protected area network to assess how many of the suitable and stable areas are protected for the conservation of this critically endangered species. Our model predicted the expansion of climatically suitable habitats for pancake tortoises from four countries and a total area of 90,668.75 km2 to ten countries in the future and an area of 343,459.60 - 401,179.70 km2. The model also showed that a more significant area of climatically suitable habitat for the species lies outside of the wildlife protected areas. Based on our results, we can predict that pancake tortoises may not suffer from habitat constriction. However, the species will continue to be at risk from the international pet trade, as most of the identified suitable habitats remain outside of protected areas. We suggest that efforts to conserve the pancake tortoise should not only focus on protected areas but also areas that are unprotected, as these comprise a large proportion of the suitable and stable habitats available following predicted future climate change.

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Improving reintroduction planning and implementation through quantitative SWOT analysis

Cited by 29 publications

References 41 publications

Climate suitability as a predictor of conservation translocation failure

Climate suitability as a predictor of conservation translocation failure

Analogies for a No-Analog World: Tackling Uncertainties in Reintroduction Planning

Protected areas network is not adequate to protect a critically endangered East Africa Chelonian: Modelling distribution of pancake tortoise, Malacochersus tornieri under current and future climates

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