Implementation of Analytic Hierarchy Process for Determination of Incident Causes in Oil and Gas Industry

Wicaksono, Fermi Dwi

doi:10.29118/ipa.50.17.155.f

Cited by 2 publications

(3 citation statements)

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“…During preparation for internal inspection of slug catcher, suddenly white fumes were observed from the upper manhole, and then the gas detector detected 200 ppm H2S and lower oxygen level. Important fact findings revealed that pyrophoric risk was not identified on the work permit neither the operating procedure for manhole opening as it never happens before on previous internal cleaning work [4]. Overall, failures of risk management factors are listed as inadequacy to evaluate risk prior to critical job, failure to evaluate risk prior to modification, and insufficient assessment of operational readiness.…”

Section: Incident Investigation Findingsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Skogdalen and Vinnem [1] define that High potential incidents are precursor incidents which indicate failure in systems controlling the risks from major hazard, and they should be thoroughly investigated in order to prevent them from reoccurring. The incidents categorized as High potential incidents are [4]: (1) Explosion (flash, detonation, deflagration); (2) Fire whether or not they are controlled quickly in a hazardous area [18]; (3) Significant and Major (Tier-1 and Tier-2) Hydrocarbon leaks [19]; (4) Emergency shutdown caused by the confirmed detection of gas leak or fire; (5) Incidents involving personnel Caught In, Under or Between; (6) Falls from height or person slips and trips (at the same height); (7) Falling objects capable of causing a fatality; (8) Incident involving confined space working [20]. During the operation, Andals Oil has experienced several High potential incidents.…”

Section: High Potential Incident (Hipo)mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The oil and gas industry is commonly regarded as high risk due to multiple internal and external hazards that personnel working in, thereon are potentially exposed to [3]. This means that incidents occur as a result of its high-risk operation [4]. According to this condition, a minor event may rapidly escalate into catastrophic incidents.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Statistical Analysis of the High Potential Incident in Andals Oil of Indonesia

et al. 2021

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The oil and gas industry involves latent risks which are considered as one of the most severe consequences. This circumstance mainly due to the existence of intrinsic hazards involved. As part of process safety management, past incidents analysis should be performed to eliminate the potential of significant accident occurrence. It is crucial to identify the root cause of the incidents. This research discloses the degree of importance of causal factors in contributing to an incident. The methodology based on regression analysis and path analysis is performed to identify the degree of importance of incident causes. A case study is performed at Andals Oil of Indonesia to demonstrate the most significant factor leading to an incident. As the baseline for this research, incident data are gathered from Andals Oil's database during 2006 – 2018. The statistics describe the most frequent type of incident that occurs during the oil and gas field operations. Three major root causes in the oil and gas industry are evaluated: 1. Organizational system factor; 2. Job factor leading to unsafe working conditions; 3. Human-behavioral factor. Based on the regression analysis and path analysis, it is concluded that the number of High potential incidents is directly affected by Job factor leading to unsafe condition and Human-behavioral factor. Although the Organizational system factor may not significantly affect the number of High potential incidents, this factor still directly engenders unsafe working condition by affecting variable Job factors.

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Section: Incident Investigation Findingsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: High Potential Incident (Hipo)mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Statistical Analysis of the High Potential Incident in Andals Oil of Indonesia

et al. 2021

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In the search of oil and gas incident causal factors: The Gaussian Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process approach

Wicaksono

Arshad

2021

IOP Conf. Ser.: Mater. Sci. Eng.

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Learning from events is a crucial measure to reduce the number of catastrophic incidents on board the oil and gas industry. It is critical to have a better understanding of the root causes behind the incidents. A better understanding of the incident causal factors can be accomplished by investigating thoroughly previous incident reports and determine the most notable factors in contributing to the incidents. This paper mainly elaborates and analyzes incident reports produced by the International Oil and Gas Producer Association’s (IOGP’s) reports from 2010 until 2018 located in the worldwide operation. The most contributing factors lead to the oil and gas incidents are examined in this paper utilizing Gaussian fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, an improved methodology of fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) by embedding Gaussian fuzzy number within the evaluation process. Gaussian fuzzy number is obtained by random simulation corresponding to the Gaussian probability density function. The result of this paper reveals the more accurate and realistic representation of incident causal factors determination. This point of view helps in better explaining oil and gas incidents causal factors, where precaution measures should be directed and efficiently managed.

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Implementation of Analytic Hierarchy Process for Determination of Incident Causes in Oil and Gas Industry

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

Statistical Analysis of the High Potential Incident in Andals Oil of Indonesia

Statistical Analysis of the High Potential Incident in Andals Oil of Indonesia

In the search of oil and gas incident causal factors: The Gaussian Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process approach

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