Impacts of FTAA and MERCOEURO on agribusiness in the MERCOSUL countries

Cypriano, Luiz Alberto; Teixeira, Erly Cardoso

doi:10.1590/s0103-20032003000200001

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…Para o setor de carnes, por sua vez, o Brasil ampliaria mais as suas exportações num acordo com a UE. Esses resultados corroboram os estudos de Silva et al (2016), Pelegrini (2016), Silva et al (2009), Monte & Teixeira (2007), Cypriano & Teixeira (2003) e Figueiredo et al (2001, que também observaram a ampliação da produção e das exportações de produtos do agronegócio em diferentes acordos comerciais, como carnes, oleaginosas e produtos florestais.…”

Section: Impactos Sobre O Comércio Internacionalunclassified

Análise de cenários do agronegócio brasileiro frente à China, aos EUA e à UE, utilizando um modelo de equilíbrio geral computável

Buchmann

Massuquetti

Azevedo

2021

Rev. Econ. Sociol. Rural

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Resumo O objetivo do estudo é analisar as oportunidades de comércio a partir da simulação de uma possível integração comercial do Brasil com a China, com os EUA e com a UE, buscando identificar os setores mais beneficiados pelo eventual acordo, classificados conforme seu grau de intensidade tecnológica, com ênfase no agronegócio brasileiro. Empregou-se a classificação de produtos por grau de intensidade tecnológica segundo os critérios da Organização para Cooperação e Desenvolvimento Econômico (OCDE) e foi utilizado o modelo de equilíbrio geral computável, mediante uso da base de dados Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), versão 9, para simular os impactos sobre o comércio internacional e os efeitos sobre o bem-estar de uma possível integração comercial do Brasil com os parceiros selecionados. Por fim, os resultados obtidos mostram que os ganhos de bem-estar para o Brasil, em todos os acordos, estão principalmente vinculados à melhor alocação dos seus recursos produtivos, que estariam concentrados basicamente nos setores primários e de baixa intensidade tecnológica, que agregaria o agronegócio.

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Section: Impactos Sobre O Comércio Internacionalunclassified

Análise de cenários do agronegócio brasileiro frente à China, aos EUA e à UE, utilizando um modelo de equilíbrio geral computável

Buchmann

Massuquetti

Azevedo

2021

Rev. Econ. Sociol. Rural

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Trade Policy and Poverty Reduction in Brazil

Harrison¹,

Rutherford²,

Tarr³

et al. 2004

The World Bank Economic Review

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A multiregion computable general equilibrium model is used to evaluate the regional, multilateral, and unilateral trade policy options of Mercosur from the perspective of the welfare of all potential partners in several proposed agreements. The focus for Brazil is on poverty impacts. The results show that the poorest households in Brazil experience gains of 1.5-5.5 percent of their consumption, which are about three to four times the average gains for Brazil. Protection in Brazil favors capital-intensive manufacturing relative to unskilled labor-intensive agriculture and manufacturing. So trade liberalization raises the return to unskilled labor relative to capital and disproportionately helps the poor. Brazil has several trade policy options. This study evaluates those options from the perspective of the welfare of all potential partners in several proposed trade agreements, looking particularly at the impacts on poor people to determine which trade policy contributes most to poverty reduction in Brazil. The objective is to determine whether there is a tradeoff between aggregate welfare gains to Brazil from trade liberalization and the welfare gains to the poor. The article concludes that there is no tradeoff and explains why. As part of the Mercosur customs union with Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay, Brazil is engaged in negotiations to implement the Free Trade Agreement of the Americas (FTAA). Mercosur is also negotiating a potential free trade

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Regional, Multilateral, and Unilateral Trade Policies of MERCOSUR for Growth and Poverty Reduction in Brazil

Harrison

2003

Policy Research Working Papers

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Harrison, Rutherford, Tarr, and Gurgel estimate thatThe agreement with the EU is almost twice as valuable the Free Trade Agreement of the Americas (FTAA), the for Brazil as the FTAA, but this conclusion depends on EU-MERCOSUR agreement, and multilateral trade the EU providing tariff free access to its agricultural policy changes will all' be beneficial for Brazil. The markets as part of the agreement. If the United States and Brazilian government strategy of simultaneously the EU do not permit access to their most highly negotiating the FTAA and the EU-MERCOSUR protected markets, the FTAA will be much more valuable agreement, while supporting multilateral liberalization to Brazil than the EU-MERCOSUR agreement. The through the Doha Agenda, will increase the benefits of FTAA contains a large number of markets outside of the each of these policies.United States, so there remains a lot of value in the The authors estimate that the poorest households FTAA for Brazil, even if the United States protects its typically gain roughly three to four times the average for most highly protected markets. Brazil from any of the policies considered. This is Both the FTAA and the EU-MERCOSUR agreements because the structure of tariff protection in Brazil favors are net trade-creating for the countries involved, but capital-intensive manufacturing. Tariff liberalization in excluded countries almost always lose from the Brazil will shift production toward labor-intensive agreements. The authors estimate that multilateral trade manufacturing and agriculture. Due to the increase in liberalization of 50 percent in tariffs and export subsidies demand for labor intensive sectors, the wage rate of results in gains to the world more than four times greater unskilled labor will increase, and the primary than either the FTAA or the EU-MERCOSUR determinant of the impact on the poor from trade agreement. This shows the continued importance to the liberalization is the wage rate of unskilled labor.world trading community of the multilateral negotiations.This paper-a product of Trade, Development Research Group-is part of a larger effort in the group to assess the impact of trade liberalization on poverty. Copies of the paper are available free from the World Bank,

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Impacts of FTAA and MERCOEURO on agribusiness in the MERCOSUL countries

Cited by 3 publications

References 4 publications

Análise de cenários do agronegócio brasileiro frente à China, aos EUA e à UE, utilizando um modelo de equilíbrio geral computável

Análise de cenários do agronegócio brasileiro frente à China, aos EUA e à UE, utilizando um modelo de equilíbrio geral computável

Trade Policy and Poverty Reduction in Brazil

Regional, Multilateral, and Unilateral Trade Policies of MERCOSUR for Growth and Poverty Reduction in Brazil

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