Impact of global warming on a group of related species and their hybrids: cherry tree (Rosaceae) flowering at Mt. Takao, Japan

Miller‐Rushing, Abraham J.; Katsuki, Tsutomu; Primack, Richard B.; Ishii, Yukio; Lee, Sang Don; Higuchi, Hiroyoshi

doi:10.3732/ajb.94.9.1470

Cited by 118 publications

(104 citation statements)

References 43 publications

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“…This result indicated that the period influenced the trend estimate of phenophases, which was also suggested by other studies [12,19,29]. Although no significant trends were found, FFD of three ornamental plants still had a strong interannual variance with a standard deviation of 6.3 to 7.9 days, which was in accordance with FFD time series observed in other parts of the world [12,[30][31][32]. Such a high variability in the flowering date further hampers the detection of trends in flowering phenology.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 85%

Impact of Climate Variability on Flowering Phenology and Its Implications for the Schedule of Blossom Festivals

et al. 2017

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Many tourism destinations characterized by spring blossom festivals (e.g., cherry blossom festival) became increasingly popular around the world. Usually, spring blossom festivals should be planned within the flowering period of specific ornamental plants. In the context of climate and phenological change, whether the administrators of tourism destinations had perceived and responded to the flowering phenological variability is still unknown. Using the data of climate, blossom festival dates (BFD) of three tourist attractions, and first flowering dates (FFD) of specific species in Beijing, China, we analyzed the flowering phenological response to temperature and the impact of FFDs on BFDs from 1989 to 2016. It was shown that the flowering time of ornamental plants varied significantly among years in response to temperature variability. The administrators of Beijing Botanical Garden and Yuyuantan Park determined peach BFD and cherry BFD based on their experience rather than FFD of corresponding plants. Therefore, the mismatch between BFD and FFD occurred frequently at these two locations. However, the administrator of Jingshan Park scheduled the peony BFD following the variance of FFD of tree peony. These results revealed the various perceptions of climate change impacts for stakeholders of blossom festivals.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 85%

Impact of Climate Variability on Flowering Phenology and Its Implications for the Schedule of Blossom Festivals

et al. 2017

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“…degree-days) often predicts well the date of flowering in plants (e.g. Jackson 1966;Diekmann 1996), and flowering phenology commonly tracks interannual variation in air temperatures (Fitter et al 1995;Sparks et al 2000;Miller-Rushing et al 2007). Heat accumulation similarly affects development rate and, hence, the timing of appearance of adults, in many economically important insect species (Embree 1970;Kemp & Onsager 1986;Régnière et al 2007).…”

Section: (B) Photoperiodmentioning

confidence: 99%

Toward a synthetic understanding of the role of phenology in ecology and evolution

Forrest

Miller‐Rushing

2010

Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B

583

525

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Phenology affects nearly all aspects of ecology and evolution. Virtually all biological phenomenafrom individual physiology to interspecific relationships to global nutrient fluxes-have annual cycles and are influenced by the timing of abiotic events. Recent years have seen a surge of interest in this topic, as an increasing number of studies document phenological responses to climate change. Much recent research has addressed the genetic controls on phenology, modelling techniques and ecosystem-level and evolutionary consequences of phenological change. To date, however, these efforts have tended to proceed independently. Here, we bring together some of these disparate lines of inquiry to clarify vocabulary, facilitate comparisons among habitat types and promote the integration of ideas and methodologies across different disciplines and scales. We discuss the relationship between phenology and life history, the distinction between organismal-and population-level perspectives on phenology and the influence of phenology on evolutionary processes, communities and ecosystems. Future work should focus on linking ecological and physiological aspects of phenology, understanding the demographic effects of phenological change and explicitly accounting for seasonality and phenology in forecasts of ecological and evolutionary responses to climate change.

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“…However, temperature also has a strong effect on development rate, and interacts with the photoperiod response to determine the actual timing of flowering (Billings andMooney 1968, Wilczek et al 2010). Studies using long-term data on flowering phenology in temperate-zone plants frequently emphasize the temperature effect, showing good correlations between springtime temperatures and dates of first or peak flowering (e.g., Fitter et al 1995, Miller-Rushing et al 2007, Miller-Rushing and Primack 2008.…”

Section: Determinants Of Flowering Phenologymentioning

confidence: 99%

An examination of synchrony between insect emergence and flowering in Rocky Mountain meadows

Forrest

Thomson

2011

Ecological Monographs

229

240

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Abstract. One possible effect of climate change is the generation of a mismatch in the seasonal timing of interacting organisms, owing to species-specific shifts in phenology. Despite concerns that plants and pollinators might be at risk of such decoupling, there have been few attempts to test this hypothesis using detailed phenological data on insect emergence and flowering at the same localities. In particular, there are few data sets on pollinator flight seasons that are independent of flowering phenology, because pollinators are typically collected at flowers. To address this problem, we established standardized nesting habitat (trap nests) for solitary bees and wasps at sites along an elevational gradient in the Rocky Mountains, and monitored emergence during three growing seasons. We also recorded air temperatures and flowering phenology at each site. Using a reciprocal transplant experiment with nesting bees, we confirmed that local environmental conditions are the primary determinants of emergence phenology. We were then able to develop phenology models to describe timing of pollinator emergence or flowering, across all sites and years, as a function of accumulated degree-days. Although phenology of both plants and insects is well described by thermal models, the best models for insects suggest generally higher threshold temperatures for development or diapause termination than those required for plants. In addition, degreeday requirements for most species, both plants and insects, were lower in locations with longer winters, indicating either a chilling or vernalization requirement that is more completely fulfilled at colder sites, or a critical photoperiod before which degree-day accumulation does not contribute to development. Overall, these results suggest that phenology of plants and trap-nesting bees and wasps is regulated in similar ways by temperature, but that plants are more likely than insects to advance phenology in response to springtime warming. We discuss the implications of these results for plants and pollinators, and suggest that phenological decoupling alone is unlikely to threaten population persistence for most species in our study area.

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Impact of global warming on a group of related species and their hybrids: cherry tree (Rosaceae) flowering at Mt. Takao, Japan

Cited by 118 publications

References 43 publications

Impact of Climate Variability on Flowering Phenology and Its Implications for the Schedule of Blossom Festivals

Impact of Climate Variability on Flowering Phenology and Its Implications for the Schedule of Blossom Festivals

Toward a synthetic understanding of the role of phenology in ecology and evolution

An examination of synchrony between insect emergence and flowering in Rocky Mountain meadows

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