Impact assessments and policy responses to sea-level rise in three US states: An exploration of human-dimension uncertainties

Moser, Susanne C.

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2005.08.002

Cited by 94 publications

(62 citation statements)

References 60 publications

(52 reference statements)

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“…These events could be viewed as ''windows of opportunity'' for implementing adaptation practices, such as adjusting the size of management units, addressing infrastructure needs, or revisiting objectives. While significant cost efficiencies might be achieved, such an approach might be difficult to implement, as crises often engender political and social conditions that favor ''returning to the status quo'' that existed prior to the crisis rather than doing something new (for example, Moser 2005).…”

Section: Adaptation To Climate Change: Plants Animals and Humansmentioning

confidence: 99%

Managing for Multiple Resources Under Climate Change: National Forests

Joyce

Blate

McNulty

et al. 2009

Environmental Management

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This study explores potential adaptation approaches in planning and management that the United States Forest Service might adopt to help achieve its goals and objectives in the face of climate change. Availability of information, vulnerability of ecological and socio-economic systems, and uncertainties associated with climate change, as well as the interacting non-climatic changes, influence selection of the adaptation approach. Resource assessments are opportunities to develop strategic information that could be used to identify and link adaptation strategies across planning levels. Within a National Forest, planning must incorporate the opportunity to identify vulnerabilities to climate change as well as incorporate approaches that allow management adjustments as the effects of climate change become apparent. The nature of environmental variability, the inevitability of novelty and surprise, and the range of management objectives and situations across the National Forest System implies that no single approach will fit all situations. A toolbox of management options would include practices focused on forestalling climate change effects by building resistance and resilience into current ecosystems, and on managing for change by enabling plants, animals, and ecosystems to adapt to climate change. Better and more widespread implementation of already known practices that reduce the impact of existing stressors represents an important ''no regrets'' strategy. These management opportunities will require agency consideration of its adaptive

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Section: Adaptation To Climate Change: Plants Animals and Humansmentioning

confidence: 99%

Managing for Multiple Resources Under Climate Change: National Forests

Joyce

Blate

McNulty

et al. 2009

Environmental Management

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“…Such developments are in response to the growing recognition of the intricate linkages between physical coastal processes, the diverse coastal ecosystems, and resources at risk from climate change, the many ecological functions they serve and services they provide, and the variety of human amenities and activities that depend on them. Thus a more complete picture of climate change impacts emerges if assessments take into account the locally embedded realities and constraints that affect individual decision makers and community responses to climate change (Moser, 2000(Moser, , 2005. Increasingly, Integrated Assessment provides an analytical framework, and an interdisciplinary learning and engagement process for experts, decision makers and stakeholders (Turner, 2001).…”

Section: Methods and Tools For Characterising Socioeconomic Consequencesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The extent to which climate change and sea-level rise are considered in coastal management plans is one useful measure of commitment to integration and sustainability. Responses to sea-level rise and climate change need to be implemented in the broader context and the wider objectives of coastal planning and management (Kennish, 2002;Moser, 2005). ICZM focuses on integrating and balancing multiple objectives in the planning process (Christie et al, 2005).…”

Section: Integrated Coastal Zone Management (Iczm)mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Recent studies suggest that there are limits to the extent to which natural and human coastal systems can adapt even to the more immediate changes in climate variability and extreme events, including in more developed countries (Moser, 2005;Box 6.6). For example, without either adaptation or mitigation, the impacts of sea-level rise and other climate change such as more intense storms (Section 6.3.2) will be substantial, suggesting that some coastal low-lying areas, including atolls, may become unviable by 2100 (Barnett and Adger, 2003;Nicholls, 2004), with widespread impacts in many other areas.…”

Section: Limits and Trade-offs In Adaptationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The public often has conflicting views on the issues of sustainability, hard and soft defences, economics, the environment and consultation. Identifying the information needs of local residents, and facilitating access to information, are integral components in the process of public understanding and behavioural change (Myatt et al, 2003;Moser, 2005Moser, , 2006Luers and Moser, 2006).…”

Section: Limits and Trade-offs In Adaptationmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Coastal Systems and Low-Lying Areas

Field¹,

Barros²,

Dokken³

et al.

Climate Change 2014 Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability

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Since the IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), our understanding of the implications of climate change for coastal systems and low-lying areas (henceforth referred to as 'coasts') has increased substantially and six important policy-relevant messages have emerged. Coasts are experiencing the adverse consequences of hazards related to climate and sea level (very high confidence). Coasts are highly vulnerable to extreme events, such as storms, which impose substantial costs on coastal societies [6.2.1, 6.2.2, 6.5.2]. Annually, about 120 million people are exposed to tropical cyclone hazards, which killed 250,000 people from 1980 to 2000 [6.5.2]. Through the 20th century, global rise of sea level contributed to increased coastal inundation, erosion and ecosystem losses, but with considerable local and regional variation due to other factors [6.2.5, 6.4.1]. Late 20th century effects of rising temperature include loss of sea ice, thawing of permafrost and associated coastal retreat, and more frequent coral bleaching and mortality [6.2.5]. Coasts will be exposed to increasing risks, including coastal erosion, over coming decades due to climate change and sea-level rise (very high confidence). Anticipated climate-related changes include: an accelerated rise in sea level of up to 0.6 m or more by 2100; a further rise in sea surface temperatures by up to 3°C; an intensification of tropical and extratropical cyclones; larger extreme waves and storm surges; altered precipitation/run-off; and ocean acidification [6.3.2]. These phenomena will vary considerably at regional and local scales, but the impacts are virtually certain to be overwhelmingly negative [6.4, 6.5.3].

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Understanding Coupled Ethical‐epistemic Issues Relevant to Climate Modeling and Decision Support Science

Tuana¹

2017

Scientific Integrity and Ethics in the Geosciences

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Impact assessments and policy responses to sea-level rise in three US states: An exploration of human-dimension uncertainties

Cited by 94 publications

References 60 publications

Managing for Multiple Resources Under Climate Change: National Forests

Managing for Multiple Resources Under Climate Change: National Forests

Coastal Systems and Low-Lying Areas

Understanding Coupled Ethical‐epistemic Issues Relevant to Climate Modeling and Decision Support Science

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