Identifying Potential Gaps in U.S. Coast Guard Arctic Capabilities

Tingstad, Abbie; Savitz, Scott; Abel, Kristin Van; Woods, Dulani; Anania, Katherine; Ziegler, Michelle D.; Davenport, Aaron C.; Costello, Katherine

doi:10.7249/rr2310

Cited by 6 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 1 publication

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“…A team rapporteur shared the results with the room, and an instant poll was taken for each room environment, technological, economic, geopolitics and international security, policy and regulatory, and social. Previous HSOAC work for DCO-X used the same categories (see Tingstad et al, 2018).…”

Section: The Driver Advocacy Gamementioning

confidence: 99%

Developing New Future Scenarios for the U.S. Coast Guard's Evergreen Strategic Foresight Program

Tingstad¹,

Wilson²,

Anania³

et al. 2020

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This report documents support by Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center (HSOAC) to the U.S. Coast Guard's Evergreen strategic foresight activity. The objective was to help develop scenarios that postured Evergreen to better bridge the gap between future challenges and near-term plans, which typically focus on the urgent needs of the present. HSOAC analysts reviewed prior Evergreen activities, examined Coast Guard strategy-making and planning processes, adapted an approach for developing scenarios, and narrated a set of exemplar global planning scenarios. Although the scenario development process and resulting example scenarios focused on a Coast Guard planning context, the approach and considerations described in this report might be useful to other organizations with long-range planning needs.

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Section: The Driver Advocacy Gamementioning

confidence: 99%

Developing New Future Scenarios for the U.S. Coast Guard's Evergreen Strategic Foresight Program

Tingstad¹,

Wilson²,

Anania³

et al. 2020

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“…[2], Konyshev V, Sergunin A. [3] [4] [5], and others [6] [7] [11] [12] [13]. The recent research of China's policy toward the Arctic and relations with the countries of the region has acquired particular urgency.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Crossroad of Geostrategic Interests in the Arctic

Butorov¹,

Kanygina²

2019

Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Contemporary Education, Social Sciences and Ecological Studies (CESSES 2019)

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The article is devoted to the analysis of the state and prospects of international cooperation of Russia, China and the United States in the Arctic. The authors consider the problems and contradictions that impede these countries in the search for agreement and interaction in this region. Special attention is paid to the issues of ensuring the environmental safety of the Arctic territory, the inadmissibility of its militarization, the preservation of the natural resources of the Arctic for future generations. The authors predict that in the future tensions in world politics over the sphere of influence in the Arctic zone will increase.

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“…3 Tingstad et al, 2018. would continue to be resource-poor and (2) the nonnegotiability of the commandant's support of the Deepwater program to modernize aging cutters and aircraft, which limited the creativity of the team. 4 Nevertheless, Long View demonstrated the nearer-term benefits of futures analysis, and the leadership decided to continue the exercise, renaming it "Project Evergreen" in 2003 to signify the continuous renewal of strategies and strategic intent.…”

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confidence: 99%

USCG Project Evergreen V: Compilation of Activities and Summary of Results

2022

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This report documents support by RAND Corporation's Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center (HSOAC) to the U.S. Coast Guard's Evergreen strategic foresight activity from July 2018 to July 2022. The report is a compilation of both Coast Guard and HSOAC activities, products, and jointly developed reports. The Evergreen Project has been a team effort consisting of staff from the Coast Guard Office of Emerging Policy (DCO-X), a core group of Coast Guard subject-matter experts (SMEs), and HSOAC researchers. The objective was to help the Coast Guard identify relevant topics, issues, areas of opportunity, and potential challenges that the service will likely face in the coming decades and to provide those to the transition team for the next commandant for consideration, thus posturing senior leadership to better bridge the gap between future challenges and near-term plans, which typically focus on the urgent needs of the present.HSOAC analysts reviewed prior Evergreen activities, examined Coast Guard strategy-making and planning processes; adapted an approach for developing scenarios; narrated a set of exemplar global planning scenarios; supported workshops targeting diverse sets of SMEs; assisted with planning, facilitating, and capturing outputs from ideation exercises with target cohorts of service participants; published short documents on notable topics of interest identified during workshops; and aided the service in developing requirements and planning for a series of strategic games 1 to test new concepts of operations, set in specific future global scenarios. The series of focused workshops in the third year emerged from program engagements with the service's senior leadership, who provided the subject material and helped guide the team. 2 This research was sponsored by DCO-X and conducted within the Strategy, Policy, and Operations Program of the HSOAC federally funded research and development center (FFRDC). About the Homeland Security Operational Analysis CenterThe Homeland Security Act of 2002 (Section 305 of Public Law 107-296, as codified at 6 U.S.C. AO 185) authorizes the Secretary of Homeland Security, acting through the Under Secretary for Science and Technology, to establish one or more FFRDCs to provide independent analysis of homeland security issues. RAND operates HSOAC as an FFRDC for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security under contract HSHQDC-16-D-00007. The HSOAC FFRDC provides the government with independent and objective analyses and advice in core areas 1 A serious game is one used for training or analysis, not entertainment, whereas a wargame is often focused on conflict. 2 The team consisted of USCG DCO-X staff, RAND/HSOAC researchers, diverse select cohorts of Coast Guard active-duty and civilian SMEs, and select senior leadership from the service's flag corps who helped guide the team. iv important to the department in support of policy development, decisionmaking, alternative approaches, and new ideas on issues of significance. The HSOAC FFRDC also works with and supports oth...

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Identifying Potential Gaps in U.S. Coast Guard Arctic Capabilities

Cited by 6 publications

References 1 publication

Developing New Future Scenarios for the U.S. Coast Guard's Evergreen Strategic Foresight Program

Developing New Future Scenarios for the U.S. Coast Guard's Evergreen Strategic Foresight Program

The Crossroad of Geostrategic Interests in the Arctic

USCG Project Evergreen V: Compilation of Activities and Summary of Results

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