I come to bury (population) growth, not to praise it

Franklin, Rachel S.

doi:10.1080/17421772.2020.1802056

Cited by 10 publications

(20 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…Additionally, as a demographic process, population decline will alter the composition of areas. With this, changes in age structure, diversity and attitudes will be likely observed (Franklin, 2020). Such changes will bear social and economic implications of their own, namely, income inequalities (Bellman et al, 2018) and the reduction in area competitiveness (Poot, 2008), potentially fuelling further population losses.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In the near future, decline is expected to spread to all regions of Europe with 33 countries set to undergo decline by 2050 (UN, 2019). Depopulation at this scale is a previously unrecognised demographic phenomenon and will impose a wealth of novel challenges (Clements et al, 2018; Coleman & Rowthorn, 2011; Franklin, 2020).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Contemporary population decline is often portrayed in such a way that it emphasises contrasting trajectories of population change between rural and urban areas (Coleman & Rowthorn, 2011; Franklin, 2020; Johnson & Lichter, 2019). Though it is true that decline is more prevalent in rural areas (Raugze et al, 2017), recent empirical evidence demonstrates population growth in certain rural areas (Pužulis & Kūle, 2016; Salvati, 2018; Wojewódzka‐Wiewiórska, 2019) and decline in urban areas (Turok & Mykhnenko, 2007; Wolff & Weichmann, 2018) would suggest that this notion is oversimplified.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Understanding trajectories of population decline across rural and urban Europe: A sequence analysis

Newsham

Rowe

2022

Population Space and Place

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Population decline is projected to become widespread in Europe, with the continental population set to reverse its longstanding trajectory of growth within the next 5 years. This represents unfamiliar demographic territory. Despite this, literature on decline remains sparse and our understanding porous. Particular epistemological deficiencies stem from a lack of both cross-national and temporal analyses of population decline. This study seeks to address these gaps through the novel application of sequence and cluster analysis techniques to examine variations in population decline trajectories since 2000 in 696 subnational areas across 33 European territories. The methodology allows for a holistic understanding of decline trajectories capturing differences in the ordering, timing, magnitude and spatial structure of population decline. We identify a typology of population decline distinguishing seven distinct pathways to depopulation and chart their geographies. Results revealed differentiated pathways of depopulation in continental subregions, with consistent and rapid declines in the east, persistent but moderate declines in central Europe, accelerating declines in the south and decelerating population declines in the west. Results also revealed differentiated patterns of depopulation across the rural-urban continuum, with urban and populous areas experiencing a deceleration in population decline, while decline accelerates or stabilises in rural areas. Small-and midsized areas displayed heterogeneous depopulation trajectories, highlighting the importance of local contextual factors in influencing trajectories of population decline.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Understanding trajectories of population decline across rural and urban Europe: A sequence analysis

Newsham

Rowe

2022

Population Space and Place

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“…In Franklin's (2020) Spatial Economic Analysis Annual Lecture presented at the Regional Studies Association 2019 Annual Conference in Santiago de Compostela, Spain, the author raises the intriguing question: Is regional economic growth always beneficial? The question if growth should be the principal objective of regional development has preoccupied scholarship on US shrinking cities in recent years.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Women in spatial economic analysis

Abreu

Poon

Elhorst

2021

Spatial Economic Analysis

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This virtual special issue marks International Women's Day 2021 by drawing together 15 papers published in Spatial Economic Analysis over the past decade by female authors and co-authors. It highlights the wide range of ground-breaking research by these authors and their collaborators, growth of female-authored publications over time, as well as the geographical and career-stage diversity of female authors within the field. The papers include agenda-setting directions, novel applications of econometric and spatial analysis techniques, and spatial modelling applied to policy-relevant research topics.

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“…A natural generalization is to let the slope parameters of the covariates vary as well. An overview of all these model options is provided by Elhorst (2014). A problem, however, is that the number of parameters to be estimated might grow large relative to the number of observations.…”

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confidence: 99%

Raising the bar (16)

Elhorst¹,

Abreu²,

Amaral³

et al. 2020

Spatial Economic Analysis

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This editorial summarises the papers published in issue 15.4 in order to raise the bar in applied spatial economic research and highlight new trends and knowledge. The first paper challenges the standard notion that more growth is better. The second paper challenges macroeconomic models by looking at them from a regional micro-grounded lens, where the effect of productivity shocks depends on the distribution of economic activity and the locations where shocks occur. The third paper investigates the wage-productivity nexus using the latest techniques on cross-sectional dependence. The fourth paper introduces a new method to determine regional price differentials. The fifth paper tests whether economic-theoretical insights obtained from urban economic models apply not only to cities in developed countries but also to those in developing countries. The sixth paper sets out an estimation method for a spatial random coefficients model for clusters of observations. The seventh paper proposes a new method for regionalizing national input-output tables. The final paper focuses on Big Data and its role in regional growth.

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I come to bury (population) growth, not to praise it

Cited by 10 publications

References 21 publications

Understanding trajectories of population decline across rural and urban Europe: A sequence analysis

Understanding trajectories of population decline across rural and urban Europe: A sequence analysis

Women in spatial economic analysis

Raising the bar (16)

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